NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 209.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59b3f327ade1c088b65f8642e44602f3a31e72501c683b0443bb97a84c53afc9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,462
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,462 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 50c | 80,000$40,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,000 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 50c | 59,365$29,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,682.53 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 11,369$5,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,630.89 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 50c | 11,325$5,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,662.5 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Under | 50c | 8,452$4,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,225.88 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 8,091$3,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,882.99 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 52c | 6,447$3,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,092.52 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 6,023$3,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,891.19 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Over | 50c | 5,256$2,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,628 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 57c | 3,593$2,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,032.5 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 52c | 3,021$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.29 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 53c | 2,484$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.33 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 45c | 2,479$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.43 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 50c | 2,457$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.47 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 42c | 1,582$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.79 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 50c | 1,300$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Over | 52c | 213.46$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.46 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b1…0436backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe22f…fe42backed Over | 51c | 147.17$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.17 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.38per pick | 51cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Over | 50c | 109.56$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.78 | 219 | 37%81 W · 138 L | -15.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…783bbacked Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6827…26fdbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d2…a62dbacked Over | 50c | 94.22$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.11 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Under | 50c | 94.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc5dd…5a9fbacked Over | 47c | 84.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 50c | 83.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 12c | 83.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.48 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Under | 51c | 52.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb0…4cd4backed Over | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Under | 48c | 38.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd892…5f0dbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Over | 51c | 37.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 48c | 32.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Over | 50c | 31.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 288 | 56.9%164 W · 124 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 209.5this page
- Clippers vs. SunsClippers won
- Clippers vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Clippers vs. Suns: 1H O/U 103.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 210.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 211.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 212.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 213.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 214.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5Under won
- Ivica Zubac: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 12.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 22.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Mark Williams: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Suns (-1.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Suns (-9.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.