TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Suns (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Suns, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$173,782
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$174,487

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,782 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Suns56c102,831$57,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,506.940446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Clippers44c75,712$33,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,398.761,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Clippers44c17,833$7,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,986.7359347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Suns56c12,424$6,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,920.019,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Clippers45c11,111$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,111.1120758%120 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Suns49c10,445$5,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,135.436,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Suns52c7,473$3,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,888.232,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Clippers44c6,903$3,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,865.6711252.7%59 W · 53 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Suns45c4,177$1,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,866.644,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Clippers51c3,966$2,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,952.642,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers55c3,856$2,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,722.413,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Clippers50c3,770$1,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8851,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Clippers49c3,724$1,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,891.738,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Clippers44c3,500$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.9815349%75 W · 78 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Suns55c2,318$1,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,267.843,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Clippers48c2,214$1,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.281,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Clippers52c2,100$1,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0132,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Clippers48c1,822$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.392,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Clippers46c1,769$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.764,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Suns56c1,500$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84023644.1%104 W · 132 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Clippers50c1,500$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7451,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Suns56c1,364$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76440451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Suns54c1,114$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60020843.8%91 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Clippers48c965$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.819147.6%91 W · 100 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Suns49c555.29$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.0936359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Clippers49c541$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.383,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Suns56c535.46$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.8647349%232 W · 241 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Clippers56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22052844.7%236 W · 292 L+1.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Suns54c488.08$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.2620838%79 W · 129 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf87b…180abacked Clippers52c446$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21416539.4%65 W · 100 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Clippers48c421.89$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.1354549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Clippers48c385$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.22,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Clippers60c364.84$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.083,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Clippers47c361.7$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.766046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Suns54c343.01$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.624,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Clippers53c223$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.813,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Suns56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11295047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Clippers51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9880744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Clippers57c164.91$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9162347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69e1…11a6backed Suns13c151.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Clippers51c133.91$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.6243244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Clippers48c120.38$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.61,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Suns56c117.86$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef71…dedebacked Clippers45c115.56$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.566552.3%34 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Suns52c115.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e1…4cc7backed Clippers45c110.93$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.015935.6%21 W · 38 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Clippers49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0451651.2%264 W · 252 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5295…8e94backed Suns57c101.01$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4130%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Suns52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5210541%43 W · 62 L-11.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-23.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x1600…5a08backed Suns35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3514127.7%39 W · 102 L-16.4wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Suns48c99.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4822850.9%116 W · 112 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Suns54c91.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Clippers45c88.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8922655.3%125 W · 101 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Clippers57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7261056.1%342 W · 268 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Clippers45c75.71$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6492750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Suns27c73.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0624846.8%116 W · 132 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Suns56c70$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.249351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0bb…049fbacked Clippers47c66.13$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.055250%26 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Clippers45c60$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Suns37c60$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.21,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Clippers48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0845651.1%233 W · 223 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Suns53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.538252.4%200 W · 182 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Suns54c49.76$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2760346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Suns28c41$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.483,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Suns54c40.74$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2249358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Suns54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2043647.9%209 W · 227 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Clippers48c36.44$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9131155%171 W · 140 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1483…6d7bbacked Suns56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5dfb…5240backed Suns56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011848.3%57 W · 61 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc22a…a35cbacked Clippers45c33.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3316230.9%50 W · 112 L-9.3wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-8.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Clippers45c33.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0950948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Clippers48c32.65$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9832952.9%174 W · 155 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Clippers47c31.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9116935.5%60 W · 109 L-16.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-22.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbc3a…e1f0backed Suns54c28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.124351.2%22 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Suns54c28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.031,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46d4…44b3backed Suns54c27.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154757.4%27 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Clippers48c27.34$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.181,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7676…ada4backed Clippers56c26.7$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.717345.1%78 W · 95 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fd5…5652backed Suns56c26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.56520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-50.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Suns46c24.23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.031,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Clippers47c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.721,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Clippers47c23.8$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5739756.7%225 W · 172 L+21.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3744…3e65backed Clippers44c22.73$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.737843.6%34 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cea…5013backed Clippers47c21.28$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.282842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Suns53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.687950.6%445 W · 434 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Clippers67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.647045.1%212 W · 258 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Suns56c19.06$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6745460.4%274 W · 180 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.