TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 210.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$230,285
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$235,839

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,285 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Under53c152,988$81,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,736.240446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over47c66,576$31,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,463.0654539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over46c40,724$18,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,732.972,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over49c27,500$13,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,459.991,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under52c10,923$5,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,271.139,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over46c10,721$4,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,979.024,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over46c9,349$4,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,300.642,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Under54c9,259$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,259.2620849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddd8…ff1abacked Over49c8,100$3,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,969520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Under51c7,843$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,843.1433447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Over49c7,500$3,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,67523630.1%71 W · 165 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over46c5,725$2,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,637.73,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Under52c5,519$2,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6497638.2%29 W · 47 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Over49c4,592$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25021943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Under51c4,047$2,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,982.9459653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under51c3,906$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,905.8141649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over48c3,125$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under51c2,521$1,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.923,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over47c2,302$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.72,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.3226637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9601,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over45c1,616$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.468,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40a5…f0a8backed Over52c1,524$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.681827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-39.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over50c1,488$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74465750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Over51c1,467$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74818343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over48c1,288$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61871547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Under50c920$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46027051.5%139 W · 131 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d4…0a6abacked Over46c821.73$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3786756.7%38 W · 29 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Over50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40031551.7%163 W · 152 L-1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ef7…3eb0backed Over46c649.24$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.652142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24580737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8ba…068dbacked Over46c264.3$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.6757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over50c226.43$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.2167921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over46c225.76$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.852,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c63…b90dbacked Over49c203.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.613762.2%23 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over49c200.63$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.323,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under50c200.28$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.281,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3136450.8%185 W · 179 L-1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2984…57c8backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005851.7%30 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef50…fddcbacked Over48c179.53$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7750%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbcf…47ddbacked Over52c157.33$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.814965.3%32 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Over49c150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.559144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over49c150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.524955.8%139 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb007…7f04backed Under52c128$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.449247.8%44 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Over49c120.41$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5949852.4%261 W · 237 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Over48c105.44$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5620149.8%100 W · 101 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95fe…3896backed Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017046.5%79 W · 91 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa93…0bc7backed Under15c102.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.2923047.4%109 W · 121 L+19.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1e65…701cbacked Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507038.6%27 W · 43 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4958754.7%321 W · 266 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4891148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6827…26fdbacked Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5235739.8%142 W · 215 L-25.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa76e…1dbebacked Under52c94.29$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.795145.1%23 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Over46c88.7$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.853043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Over49c63.12$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9343244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe720…0f1cbacked Over48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306844.1%30 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3060346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under51c54.9$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.962546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Over48c52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9647349%232 W · 241 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x726b…c72bbacked Under51c51.54$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258253.7%44 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Over47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.543246.1%199 W · 233 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…abaabacked Over48c47.6$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.851353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Over47c45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1553945.3%244 W · 295 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Over47c40.72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1462844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over47c40.72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1492750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Under50c40.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3237665.4%246 W · 130 L+62.0wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x5e5d…e82ebacked Over51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.414252.1%74 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a6b…7b9cbacked Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.61,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9021…bf4ebacked Under54c38.32$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.635952.5%31 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42a7…96f9backed Under52c38.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.161060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1da6…53edbacked Under52c32.69$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.695056%28 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1571449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cd3…772abacked Over48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155450%27 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77ed…6102backed Over46c31.24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.375837.9%22 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58ac…7e1fbacked Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b98…e5d1backed Under52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.858158%47 W · 34 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e7…3234backed Under54c27.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.78757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed1b…4045backed Over47c24.51$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.496048.3%29 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd94a…2728backed Under54c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.04825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-50.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Over48c23.94$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4925143%108 W · 143 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb664…5ca7backed Under52c23.65$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.354656.5%26 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…9e5bbacked Under54c22.31$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.281850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Over52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.487950.6%445 W · 434 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1018150.3%91 W · 90 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.