NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 212.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bd8fc98e688f1c292d95f83cfc3a5ac96419ced49fed92b6a680f19a205a291
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,737
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,737 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 18,740$9,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,808.4 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…be8fbacked Over | 45c | 11,380$5,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,120.88 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -56%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Over | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,159.98 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Over | 55c | 6,918$3,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,805.08 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 48c | 6,493$3,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,374.93 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…382cbacked Over | 48c | 4,583$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 55c | 1,549$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.94 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 48c | 1,398$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.96 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over | 54c | 1,306$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 1,015$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.75 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1e…4365backed Over | 45c | 713.33$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 49c | 648.95$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.91 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 55c | 615.12$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.8 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 52c | 577.16$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.52 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92c6…95a0backed Over | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 48c | 546.92$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.4 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 55c | 319.22$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.57 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 53c | 285$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.95 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 55c | 208.95$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.87 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 34c | 190.57$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.79 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcf…47ddbacked Over | 54c | 177.85$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Over | 45c | 170$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 236 | 30.1%71 W · 165 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…b9d3backed Over | 43c | 162.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb97…5356backed Over | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 46c | 139.41$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.13 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Under | 48c | 129.86$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.46 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 47c | 128.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.09 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 45c | 121.8$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.81 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfc…8cf5backed Over | 53c | 101.89$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 48c | 96.68$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.23 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe0…027abacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 49c | 90.08$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Under | 48c | 84.83$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.11 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9882…4dddbacked Over | 52c | 83$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde2e…6875backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…297cbacked Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e7…8258backed Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4a…5511backed Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 46.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc1…1fd6backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d8e6backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 47c | 41.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…d2f3backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc99f…f2adbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +44%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f9…46f1backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…fe49backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…3c90backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb0…eae5backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd125…f654backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 48c | 36.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb679…7340backed Over | 54c | 31.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb78c…1961backed Over | 54c | 29.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 55c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…7931backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5be6…3117backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Over | 45c | 26.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 51c | 25.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Under | 57c | 21.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x834d…5500backed Over | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 212.5this page
- Clippers vs. SunsClippers won
- Clippers vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Clippers vs. Suns: 1H O/U 103.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 209.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 210.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 211.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 213.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 214.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5Under won
- Ivica Zubac: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 12.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 22.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Mark Williams: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Suns (-1.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Suns (-9.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.