TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 213.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,712
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,676

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,712 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over48c17,146$8,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,215.912,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under52c7,452$3,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,569.541,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Over51c5,873$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00020849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under52c5,790$3,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,777.362,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e45…3b8cbacked Over51c4,902$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8401,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under50c3,887$1,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,943.371,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Under50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50052460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under53c2,267$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.124,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Under52c2,100$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00822055%121 W · 99 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7f4…8a18backed Over50c1,965$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.6330%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Under58c1,912$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.0758347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9aa…67e1backed Over48c1,905$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.478041.3%33 W · 47 L-8.7wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1a6a…c355backed Under49c1,902$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf134…c73bbacked Under51c1,849$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.2475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+39.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bfc…1b1bbacked Under49c1,800$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9182100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+121.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over50c1,343$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.113,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x87c5…78f9backed Under49c1,200$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over35c1,123$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.8420838%79 W · 129 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over48c937.5$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4502,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under66c899.72$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.93,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Over47c874.63$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.8619647.4%93 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c871.02$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.459,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Over43c748$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.6417653.4%94 W · 82 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over47c740.21$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.481,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e1e…bb68backed Under53c660.38$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.389556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Under51c556.5$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.6992753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over43c471.95$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.9446145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under49c438.84$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.893,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.161,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under53c374.91$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.741,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Under54c359.99$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.662347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under57c338.68$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.771,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1411,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over48c222.65$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.7333150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Over46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9220149.8%100 W · 101 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036453%193 W · 171 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under64c141.17$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.883,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27d2…b0f8backed Over50c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706741.8%28 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Over48c119.98$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5153043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over32c119.36$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.778,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over49c119.34$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2891148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb03c…b352backed Over42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x082f…b13bbacked Over50c117.14$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.571346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Under52c115.8$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3631155%171 W · 140 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b57…0765backed Under51c114.73$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa66d…0859backed Over48c102.05$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0121645.8%99 W · 117 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over48c101.74$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.842,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5052951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd418…d11fbacked Over49c92.14$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.151625%4 W · 12 L-4.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-60.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under52c86.61$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.441,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Under53c78.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4545651.1%233 W · 223 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Over47c77.42$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3943244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Under52c65.57$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4432952.9%174 W · 155 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Over48c62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3041048.3%198 W · 212 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf87b…180abacked Over46c58.57$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9416539.4%65 W · 100 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.55,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Over41c47.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6650841.7%212 W · 296 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58ac…7e1fbacked Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over49c40.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.11,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3526…8b74backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014751.7%76 W · 71 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf2b…2cd8backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208560%51 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Under57c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.241251%210 W · 202 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over46c37$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0240146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb34…a390backed Over48c35.73$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.156038.3%23 W · 37 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over36c34.65$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.471,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511848.3%57 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over41c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.31,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7109…a765backed Over46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.87154.9%39 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95be…9968backed Under52c29.02$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0233552.8%177 W · 158 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Over49c28.49$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8725143%108 W · 143 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7280…fbd1backed Over47c28.01$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.186240.3%25 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x137e…20d7backed Over48c25.7$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3715040%60 W · 90 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x74ea…15b7backed Over47c24.51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.522040%8 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Over49c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7653945.3%244 W · 295 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over53c22.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220949.3%103 W · 106 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7337…0cd1backed Over48c21.68$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.43551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x75fd…9a86backed Over50c21.08$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5416036.3%58 W · 102 L-15.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x71b6…4e91backed Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1036350.1%182 W · 181 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bdf…b929backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105046%23 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Under61c19.22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5457657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.