NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Utah
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x813540567fcb76210b35bbdaf0707bfccc01e529749f523108f761366592f6d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Capitals, Utah
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $614,353
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $632,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $614,353 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 521 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Utah | 56c | 350,635$197,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197,268.27 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Capitals | 45c | 89,000$40,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,950 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Capitals | 43c | 45,900$19,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,099.74 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Capitals | 42c | 43,508$18,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,234.64 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Capitals | 42c | 36,274$15,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,038.8 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Capitals | 45c | 33,014$14,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,187.84 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Capitals | 44c | 31,430$13,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,445.4 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Capitals | 45c | 19,071$8,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,514.57 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Capitals | 41c | 18,726$7,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,048.38 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Capitals | 43c | 18,200$7,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,373.58 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Utah | 58c | 17,251$10,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,031.52 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Utah | 58c | 13,897$8,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000.96 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Capitals | 44c | 13,099$5,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,335.26 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Capitals | 44c | 11,300$4,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,328 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa503…1041backed Utah | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Capitals | 44c | 9,379$4,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,246.92 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Utah | 55c | 8,920$4,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,905.78 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Capitals | 43c | 8,073$3,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,601.53 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Utah | 56c | 8,000$4,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,480 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Utah | 58c | 6,434$3,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,760.96 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Utah | 8c | 6,021$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.14 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa827…dcc2backed Capitals | 44c | 5,398$2,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,022.98 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Utah | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Capitals | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Capitals | 46c | 4,802$2,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,605.11 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Capitals | 50c | 4,777$2,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,391.06 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934e…e7c0backed Capitals | 42c | 4,762$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,761.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Capitals | 42c | 4,762$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,761.9 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Capitals | 44c | 4,541$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,543.15 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…8eaebacked Capitals | 45c | 4,388$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,413.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Utah | 58c | 4,200$2,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,436 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Utah | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Utah | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Utah | 50c | 3,935$1,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.08 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Utah | 52c | 3,920$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.4 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Utah | 57c | 3,555$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.68 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Utah | 53c | 3,036$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Capitals | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Utah | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Capitals | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Capitals | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Capitals | 70c | 2,869$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.68 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Capitals | 50c | 2,722$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.45 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Utah | 57c | 2,605$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.7 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Utah | 59c | 2,577$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.68 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x039c…b202backed Capitals | 42c | 2,550$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Capitals | 48c | 2,506$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.12 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Utah | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.99 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4823…a48bbacked Capitals | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Capitals | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Utah | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Utah | 34c | 1,952$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.43 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Utah | 57c | 1,800$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Capitals | 45c | 1,800$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Utah | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Utah | 59c | 1,620$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.8 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Capitals | 45c | 1,505$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.75 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Capitals | 67c | 1,417$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.86 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff9…a78bbacked Capitals | 44c | 1,293$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.94 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Utah | 57c | 1,248$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.31 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Utah | 47c | 1,220$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.47 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Capitals | 43c | 1,119$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.01 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Capitals | 45c | 1,052$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.81 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Capitals | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Utah | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Utah | 58c | 999.98$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.99 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765c…0779backed Utah | 56c | 999.97$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.98 | 400 | 49.3%197 W · 203 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Capitals | 43c | 946.88$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.34 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Utah | 55c | 936.73$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.2 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5178…01d8backed Utah | 56c | 875$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Utah | 57c | 873.01$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.86 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…1af3backed Utah | 57c | 860$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.6 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Capitals | 44c | 852.27$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.27 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Utah | 58c | 800$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Capitals | 44c | 795$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.2 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859b…691dbacked Utah | 59c | 745$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.55 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Utah | 51c | 740.3$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.13 | 340 | 40.3%137 W · 203 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…90a8backed Utah | 66c | 700.7$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.86 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Capitals | 41c | 700$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Utah | 59c | 700$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Capitals | 44c | 687$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.82 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Utah | 36c | 677.72$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.77 | 270 | 37.4%101 W · 169 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b9…41a9backed Utah | 56c | 602.9$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.38 | 231 | 59.3%137 W · 94 L | +22.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Utah | 8c | 595.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Capitals | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.24 | 299 | 46.8%140 W · 159 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4347…84b3backed Utah | 59c | 584.5$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.86 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Utah | 57c | 579.67$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.6 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +27.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Capitals | 42c | 571.43$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.43 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Utah | 11c | 570$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.03 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Utah | 57c | 566$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.62 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Capitals | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.56 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebdf…49aebacked Utah | 59c | 547$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.73 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9838…2817backed Utah | 59c | 542$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.78 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Utah | 36c | 515.64$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.73 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Capitals | 45c | 509.95$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…5da2backed Capitals | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Capitals | 47c | 500$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.7 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Utah | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Capitals | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 492 | 49.6%244 W · 248 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…fcf3backed Capitals | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 385 | 55.6%214 W · 171 L | +24.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Capitals vs. Utahthis page
- Capitals vs. Utah: O/U 5.5Over won
- Capitals vs. Utah: O/U 6.5Over won
- Capitals vs. Utah: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Capitals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.