TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Cal State Fullerton Titans vs. UC Irvine Anteaters

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
UC Irvine Anteatersof Cal State Fullerton Titans, UC Irvine Anteaters
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,363
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,474

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,363 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38c2…d3a7backed UC Irvine Anteaters62c9,723$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,722.8316056.9%91 W · 69 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Cal State Fullerton Titans23c8,000$1,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,809.998517.6%15 W · 70 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick20cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans5c7,428$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.421,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked UC Irvine Anteaters74c5,513$4,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.041,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed UC Irvine Anteaters77c5,225$4,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.1337947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Cal State Fullerton Titans37c5,009$1,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,864.941,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Cal State Fullerton Titans24c3,050$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73210511.4%12 W · 93 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-51.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a8a…481fbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans1c2,521$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans23c2,500$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5752,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Cal State Fullerton Titans34c2,448$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.233,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Cal State Fullerton Titans36c2,144$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.142,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Cal State Fullerton Titans28c1,679$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.132,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Cal State Fullerton Titans5c1,510$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.51,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Cal State Fullerton Titans30c1,311$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.061,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Cal State Fullerton Titans24c1,250$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30026740.8%109 W · 158 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked UC Irvine Anteaters75c1,140$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.2512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed UC Irvine Anteaters73c1,134$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.25475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans29c1,011$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.224,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Cal State Fullerton Titans27c761.24$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.5310437.5%39 W · 65 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans29c687.87$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.31,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Cal State Fullerton Titans25c420.99$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.1299045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Cal State Fullerton Titans24c375.09$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.024,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53fa…1a66backed UC Irvine Anteaters77c344.81$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.81520%1 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick62cpaid-74%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x76d0…c092backed Cal State Fullerton Titans34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-69.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Cal State Fullerton Titans10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206342.9%27 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Cal State Fullerton Titans25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010736.4%39 W · 68 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed UC Irvine Anteaters52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967252.8%38 W · 34 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Cal State Fullerton Titans24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans23c199.76$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4287047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans32c192$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7525246.4%117 W · 135 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed UC Irvine Anteaters51c163.71$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.2215055.3%83 W · 67 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Cal State Fullerton Titans36c152$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.963,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x78d2…7a2bbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258347%39 W · 44 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Cal State Fullerton Titans24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Cal State Fullerton Titans39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3936845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Cal State Fullerton Titans24c96$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0423948.1%115 W · 124 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed UC Irvine Anteaters76c78$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7418844.7%84 W · 104 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked UC Irvine Anteaters69c75.91$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.175,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed UC Irvine Anteaters71c74.78$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7268254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked UC Irvine Anteaters77c73$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.521,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd286…4c1bbacked UC Irvine Anteaters77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9413561.5%83 W · 52 L+13.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+24.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Cal State Fullerton Titans20c64.92$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9812617.5%22 W · 104 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-46.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed UC Irvine Anteaters74c64.67$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9220248%97 W · 105 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed UC Irvine Anteaters80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.54877.1%37 W · 11 L+6.7wins+0.14per pick63cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Cal State Fullerton Titans24c53.25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.782,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e3a…752fbacked UC Irvine Anteaters69c50.52$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.851764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Cal State Fullerton Titans38c49$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.621,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Cal State Fullerton Titans31c47.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.781,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xb295…d1e7backed Cal State Fullerton Titans24c46.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2818230.8%56 W · 126 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked Cal State Fullerton Titans34c44.76$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2222730.4%69 W · 158 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked UC Irvine Anteaters76c41.04$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8581453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0828…3851backed UC Irvine Anteaters75c40.8$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.12839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-33.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x68c4…d7dfbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1017634.7%61 W · 115 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed UC Irvine Anteaters77c38.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9621152.1%110 W · 101 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeac2…fd78backed UC Irvine Anteaters51c36.73$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.185453.7%29 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid+9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a52…3e04backed UC Irvine Anteaters58c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bab…2022backed UC Irvine Anteaters65c23.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.183974.4%29 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed UC Irvine Anteaters52c20.03$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6129954.2%162 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed UC Irvine Anteaters75c17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.251,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5264…54cebacked UC Irvine Anteaters74c13.47$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.47728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick57cpaid-56.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.