Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. San Diego State Aztecs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4acffbb882793aaad1f4f4c3660b74a54d16c6189ac78c846ae77df23dcad7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego State Aztecsof Nevada Wolf Pack, San Diego State Aztecs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,821
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ea7…5fe6backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 22c | 8,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed San Diego State Aztecs | 78c | 4,610$3,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.2 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 77c | 4,000$3,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed San Diego State Aztecs | 77c | 3,500$2,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 7c | 3,467$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.47 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 23c | 3,050$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.5 | 105 | 11.4%12 W · 93 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 5c | 2,569$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.96 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked San Diego State Aztecs | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda1d…6192backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 23c | 1,802$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.46 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked San Diego State Aztecs | 77c | 1,700$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.18 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 3c | 1,360$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 23c | 1,310$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.3 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 13c | 1,251$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.72 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 26c | 1,081$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.35 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 22c | 1,069$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.4 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed San Diego State Aztecs | 78c | 1,005$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.1 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 17c | 703.33$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 15c | 678.49$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.46 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 78c | 571.71$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.78 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 26c | 531.04$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.69 | 140 | 27.1%38 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked San Diego State Aztecs | 77c | 483.95$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.31 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 26c | 385.24$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.93 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 22c | 330.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 22c | 326.56$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.84 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 70c | 310.85$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.26 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f76…36ffbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 12c | 284.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 23c | 260$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…e67abacked San Diego State Aztecs | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb02…0f88backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 17c | 250.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.03 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 77c | 242.45$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.96 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 11c | 241.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 22c | 199.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d0…c092backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 26c | 195.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 8c | 175.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…0debbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 12c | 167.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 26.5%18 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 74c | 165.33$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x040b…f8a0backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 24c | 156.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 29c | 134.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 23c | 130$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 22c | 127$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe29e…fa35backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 24c | 103.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 15c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed San Diego State Aztecs | 78c | 72.18$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 73c | 71.88$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed San Diego State Aztecs | 76c | 68.07$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…3851backed San Diego State Aztecs | 78c | 65.48$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 200 | 24%48 W · 152 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 77c | 64.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 22c | 48.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 32c | 46.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…d7dfbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 22c | 45.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed San Diego State Aztecs | 68c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed San Diego State Aztecs | 65c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed San Diego State Aztecs | 77c | 18.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed San Diego State Aztecs | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed San Diego State Aztecs | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed San Diego State Aztecs | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 233 | 63.9%149 W · 84 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nevada Wolf Pack vs. San Diego State Aztecsthis page
- Nevada Wolf Pack vs. San Diego State Aztecs: O/U 139.5Under won
- Nevada Wolf Pack vs. San Diego State Aztecs: O/U 140.5Under won
- Spread: San Diego State Aztecs (-8.5)San Diego State Aztecs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.