TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9f76…36ff

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Champions League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST2055%11 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado State Rams vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebelsbacked Colorado State Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+138.1%+$20.46
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+142.5%+$14.34
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$14.85
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. North Carolina State Wolfpackbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15.23
Michigan Wolverines vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$44.69
Morgan State Bears vs. North Carolina Central Eaglesbacked North Carolina Central Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+49.3%+$7.23
Norfolk State Spartans vs. Maryland Eastern Shore Hawksbacked Norfolk State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.22
Colgate Raiders vs. Boston Terriersbacked Colgate Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$17.68
Coppin State Eagles vs. South Carolina State Bulldogsbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12.51
Southeastern Louisiana Lions vs. East Texas A&M Lionsbacked East Texas A&M Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+81.8%+$12.37
Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Santa Clara Broncosbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+54.7%+$20.72
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. San Diego State Aztecsbacked Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$33.37
California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Tech Trailblazersbacked California Baptist Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$19.46
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. Cal Poly Mustangsbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15.81
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+444.4%+$134.37
Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Wichita State Shockersbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$27.01
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+88.7%+$10.62
New Orleans Privateers vs. Houston Christian Huskiesbacked Houston Christian Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+96.1%+$13.13
Portland State Vikings vs. Northern Colorado Bearsbacked Northern Colorado Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+117.4%+$17.77
NJIT Highlanders vs. Maine Black Bearsbacked NJIT Highlanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.94
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+51%+$13.51
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.9
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.7
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+88.7%+$13.44
Bucks vs. Pelicansbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+156.4%+$23.18
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+48.2%+$14.56
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11.13
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15.02
Celtics vs. Warriorsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+51.5%+$15.47
Magic vs. Kings: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Suns vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+40.8%+$6.09
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+61.3%+$15.2
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$29.98
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.8
Jazz vs. Magicbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$19.82
76ers vs. Lakersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$30.22
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+122.2%+$12.38
All 19 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+72.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-60.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+62.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+59.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$19.95
Avalanche vs. Ducksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$46.87
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+129.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+129.4%+$13.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$25.36
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.