South American Leagues · resolved market
Will O'Higgins FC vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x521ca77eb574fc56cd80c43c0f187d83abeb9f4af10b6551c43f780d98e86e98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,964
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,964 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 966.18$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.65 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 26c | 400.68$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.01 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 29c | 257.68$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.83 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 155.03$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 70c | 140.25$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.08 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…e951backed No | 72c | 138$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 103 | 26.2%27 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 29c | 98.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +83%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb851…824fbacked Yes | 23c | 76.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 28c | 72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f76…36ffbacked Yes | 28c | 66.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 29c | 62.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d3…eb28backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 26c | 54.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5649…e5bebacked Yes | 21c | 49.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5e…8c67backed Yes | 29c | 48.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 28c | 45.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd46…c41abacked No | 72c | 44.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 70c | 41.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed No | 71c | 35.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 71c | 34.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed No | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 75c | 20.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 64c | 18.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34dd…dbf8backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will O'Higgins FC vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?this page
- Will EC Bahia win on 2026-02-18?No won
- Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-02-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.