South American Leagues · resolved market
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-02-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85ac16726bdb52954e5c6ca136bca5ddd98dafed9df52066cfafcd06281bca3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,386
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,386 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Yes | 12c | 1,966$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.53 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 21c | 1,461$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 1,327$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.58 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…0332backed Yes | 14c | 916.47$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.31 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 12c | 866.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 26.2%27 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…0267backed Yes | 23c | 642.61$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes | 9c | 550$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed Yes | 16c | 450$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0abd…869abacked Yes | 17c | 388.1$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 72c | 317.99$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.07 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 50c | 302.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 51c | 283.27$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.48 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 51c | 212.18$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.88 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Yes | 17c | 179.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 21c | 166.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 17c | 136.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 46 | 13%6 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34e4…e1e1backed Yes | 26c | 133.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Yes | 49c | 131.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.67 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7436…0ac4backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 24c | 114.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 37c | 111.09$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Yes | 50c | 106$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22ea…0d10backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 50c | 100.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +12.3wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef5e…4c1dbacked Yes | 22c | 89.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58ae…5c25backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 50c | 68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb851…824fbacked Yes | 34c | 64.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 52c | 61.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Yes | 49c | 58.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 48c | 52.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Yes | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 48c | 44.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 50c | 41.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 50c | 39.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 49c | 31.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 49c | 30.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 165 | 34.5%57 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 50c | 25.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed No | 50c | 21.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 76c | 20.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will EC Bahia win on 2026-02-18?this page
- Will O'Higgins FC vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?No won
- Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-02-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.