South American Leagues · resolved market
Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-02-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23ad75d8e29ba6301b93f38f02d444dfc391ee991e0d3cc18951535f95454885
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 12c | 1,797$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.67 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 26c | 976.6$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.55 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 54c | 741.3$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.3 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 49c | 507.59$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.25 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed No | 78c | 458$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.59 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Yes | 25c | 402.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.48 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…f2d6backed Yes | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 11c | 387.68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.58 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 56c | 367.08$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.16 | 771 | 51.4%396 W · 375 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…90fbbacked Yes | 78c | 279.49$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.49 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b4…acb1backed Yes | 55c | 272.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x573c…c365backed Yes | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 13c | 227.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 65c | 223.08$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 19c | 214.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed No | 76c | 210.53$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7436…0ac4backed No | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…dacebacked No | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 66c | 186.81$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 22c | 170.78$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.64 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd5…7330backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 151.29$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.55 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed No | 17c | 118.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 66c | 114.21$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.37 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…997ebacked Yes | 53c | 104.55$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.37per pick | 41cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd0aa…6818backed Yes | 23c | 102.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Yes | 24c | 99.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.41per pick | 37cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked No | 47c | 95.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 76c | 93.06$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.73 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaa…eb5cbacked Yes | 23c | 87.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1658…e2a1backed No | 34c | 86.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 23c | 84.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.27 | 88 | 29.5%26 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…68f1backed Yes | 55c | 78$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 76c | 77.69$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…3ebfbacked Yes | 24c | 76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +71%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeeff…7353backed Yes | 24c | 65.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 76c | 57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa87a…5403backed Yes | 73c | 56.45$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a68…22dfbacked Yes | 41c | 48.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 64 | 15.6%10 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 52c | 44.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 75c | 42.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…0139backed No | 78c | 39.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 34c | 38.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…fb48backed Yes | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 29c | 37.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 76c | 33.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…4cc0backed Yes | 74c | 32.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 40c | 30.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…8000backed Yes | 67c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…0f0ebacked Yes | 71c | 21.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 76c | 21.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4af8…a0ebbacked Yes | 61c | 18.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 76c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-02-18?this page
- Will EC Bahia win on 2026-02-18?No won
- Will O'Higgins FC vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.