Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Portland State Vikings vs. Northern Colorado Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ca33deee4283c551c8c16af15b371be660cf823f21bc1152b6496c055c665c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northern Colorado Bearsof Portland State Vikings, Northern Colorado Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Portland State Vikings | 38c | 19,078$7,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,329.45 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Northern Colorado Bears | 59c | 15,360$8,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,362.01 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Portland State Vikings | 40c | 4,892$1,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,956.8 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 61c | 4,036$2,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.32 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 78c | 3,024$2,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.07 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Portland State Vikings | 25c | 2,718$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.75 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 60c | 2,153$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.25 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Northern Colorado Bears | 61c | 2,098$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.88 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Northern Colorado Bears | 61c | 1,673$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.63 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Portland State Vikings | 26c | 1,460$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.63 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Portland State Vikings | 38c | 915.36$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.84 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Portland State Vikings | 30c | 545.25$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.01 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Portland State Vikings | 33c | 544.2$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.35 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Northern Colorado Bears | 77c | 530$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.33 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Northern Colorado Bears | 61c | 526.02$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.02 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Portland State Vikings | 38c | 499.96$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.98 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Northern Colorado Bears | 62c | 499.83$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.04 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Portland State Vikings | 30c | 394.82$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.69 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Portland State Vikings | 39c | 380$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Portland State Vikings | 20c | 295$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.54 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Portland State Vikings | 16c | 245.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.01 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Portland State Vikings | 21c | 210.17$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Northern Colorado Bears | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Portland State Vikings | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Portland State Vikings | 39c | 192.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Portland State Vikings | 56c | 173.38$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.09 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Northern Colorado Bears | 62c | 162.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Northern Colorado Bears | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Northern Colorado Bears | 63c | 138.92$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.14 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Portland State Vikings | 57c | 133$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.63 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Portland State Vikings | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Portland State Vikings | 49c | 121.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Portland State Vikings | 39c | 109.19$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Portland State Vikings | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Northern Colorado Bears | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 73c | 90$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Portland State Vikings | 28c | 88.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Portland State Vikings | 24c | 82.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…52edbacked Portland State Vikings | 57c | 82.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Northern Colorado Bears | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Northern Colorado Bears | 62c | 77.36$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Portland State Vikings | 29c | 60.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Northern Colorado Bears | 63c | 56.14$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…5b77backed Northern Colorado Bears | 77c | 51.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Northern Colorado Bears | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Portland State Vikings | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Portland State Vikings | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 55c | 36.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…615cbacked Portland State Vikings | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f76…36ffbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 46c | 32.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Portland State Vikings | 49c | 32.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Portland State Vikings | 39c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Northern Colorado Bears | 60c | 31.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Northern Colorado Bears | 61c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Portland State Vikings | 41c | 24.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Northern Colorado Bears | 58c | 22.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7927…00d5backed Northern Colorado Bears | 63c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…664cbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 61c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Northern Colorado Bears | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 100 | 95%95 W · 5 L | +21.3wins | +0.21per pick | 74cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…c894backed Northern Colorado Bears | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…be18backed Northern Colorado Bears | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portland State Vikings vs. Northern Colorado Bearsthis page
- Portland State Vikings vs. Northern Colorado Bears: O/U 148.5Under won
- Spread: Northern Colorado Bears (-3.5)Northern Colorado Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.