South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-02-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63d466b9a8a42ff719e15fe710eef2571d737612f678facaec790cd7e8b9eb89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $139,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 53c | 16,714$8,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,817.24 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda9b…b2a9backed No | 55c | 12,871$7,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,053.82 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 56c | 8,024$4,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,538.88 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 47c | 7,769$3,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,139.75 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 44c | 7,270$3,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,193.39 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 56c | 4,467$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,965.52 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 7c | 4,075$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.09 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 72c | 3,843$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.53 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 26c | 3,261$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.45 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1d…820cbacked Yes | 77c | 2,606$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed No | 54c | 2,166$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.73 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 44c | 1,988$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.72 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 44c | 1,840$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.43 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 7c | 1,193$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.49 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 10c | 1,108$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.96 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +32%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed No | 55c | 909$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 45c | 765.7$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.55 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked No | 55c | 668.45$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.65 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked No | 36c | 664.61$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.4 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 14c | 637.2$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.45 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 25c | 616$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 21c | 601.05$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.22 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0abd…7207backed No | 11c | 600$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +121.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Yes | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 44c | 516$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.91 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…dacebacked No | 10c | 500$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 5c | 397$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 65c | 301.81$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.65 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…22a0backed No | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…99f3backed No | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked No | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d1…a6a0backed Yes | 77c | 293.67$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 34c | 270.21$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.11 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed Yes | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 45c | 187.22$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.93 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b4…f6d1backed Yes | 55c | 180.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.41 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb92d…bbcabacked Yes | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 57c | 122.53$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 62c | 121.75$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.71 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed No | 20c | 119.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 46c | 113.01$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked No | 10c | 109.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 38c | 109$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.42 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 47c | 104.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.83 | 165 | 34.5%57 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 73c | 67.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 80c | 62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes | 75c | 59.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…d9dbbacked No | 54c | 51.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 53c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3be…4cd6backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc363…8845backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +40%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Yes | 56c | 33.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Yes | 60c | 31.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 44c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes | 56c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 53c | 24.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 45c | 21.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd7…caa5backed Yes | 78c | 20.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 62cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed No | 53c | 20.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc5…2585backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f76…36ffbacked Yes | 51c | 19.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed Yes | 56c | 19.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a72…044ebacked Yes | 78c | 16.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-02-14?this page
- Will Atlas FC win on 2026-02-14?No won
- Will CF Pachuca vs. Atlas FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.