South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Atlas FC win on 2026-02-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0a3488b5224d0e9a596c88efaf105ff09d742ccbdb145e635cb3084f6ad7ba0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $194,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 22c | 20,979$4,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,613.81 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 24c | 20,000$4,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,763.42 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 25c | 12,369$3,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,068.61 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd9…77f6backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 9,538$7,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,288.72 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 80c | 8,818$7,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.58 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 20c | 8,155$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda9b…b2a9backed Yes | 26c | 7,740$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.11 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 18c | 6,544$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.52 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 21c | 6,210$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.56 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 4,329$3,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.32 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 3,115$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 88 | 8%7 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 20c | 2,878$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.95 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Yes | 24c | 2,254$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.45 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 20c | 1,618$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.81 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,382$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 26.2%27 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 79c | 1,294$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.82 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 19c | 948.21$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.48 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Yes | 41c | 833.76$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.76 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 14c | 471$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.06 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Yes | 20c | 375$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce6…de1fbacked Yes | 3c | 371.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Yes | 23c | 352.64$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.06 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 8c | 299.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed Yes | 19c | 185.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 20c | 164$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 19c | 155.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 11c | 150.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 26c | 131$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.36 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b4…96a4backed Yes | 11c | 124.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 23c | 104.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 165 | 34.5%57 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 24c | 77.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Yes | 20c | 62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…b75cbacked No | 47c | 54.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +119.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x612e…8427backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 44c | 44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 78c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 80c | 31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…e3c0backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51aa…10dabacked No | 76c | 13.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.23 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 77cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlas FC win on 2026-02-14?this page
- Will CF Pachuca vs. Atlas FC end in a draw?No won
- Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-02-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.