TailMyPicks
Market

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-02-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$288,004
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$299,809

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $288,004 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xada5…db70backed Yes45c150,041$67,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82,343.1112736.2%46 W · 81 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd02a…0654backed Yes44c39,059$17,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,873.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed No54c29,866$16,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,183.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No55c25,623$14,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,127.623,40751.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No57c21,777$12,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,379.414954.4%81 W · 68 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44e0…ede8backed No56c20,500$11,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,480.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f3c…4c98backed No56c18,037$10,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,100.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No54c15,511$8,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,333.538,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No53c14,413$7,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,679.212,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No50c14,196$7,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,162.775,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No49c11,429$5,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,574.691,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No55c8,011$4,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,437.0751749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes45c7,098$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,897.716543.1%28 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes44c5,967$2,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,363.2723435%82 W · 152 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed No56c5,888$3,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,294.391553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No53c3,534$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,890.42828.6%8 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked No28c3,533$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.835244.2%23 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed No52c3,529$1,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,835.071947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Yes53c2,500$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes46c2,229$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,208.9622049.1%108 W · 112 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No55c2,037$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,118.6312741.7%53 W · 74 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked No56c1,723$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No32c1,458$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.431,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No55c1,429$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.8681740.8%333 W · 484 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No46c1,383$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.449449%242 W · 252 L+22.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Yes53c1,362$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.176235.5%22 W · 40 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed No51c1,243$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+23.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No53c1,160$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.621,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8ec…40edbacked Yes46c978.3$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.32560%15 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No56c955.65$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.2539853%211 W · 187 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes76c933$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.922240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed No55c892.78$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.03742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No58c825.25$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.281651.6%421 W · 395 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed No55c820.33$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.519124.2%22 W · 69 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9f3…0979backed Yes49c816.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.331233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes53c806$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.751,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67a1…75abbacked Yes78c709.4$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8f3…9576backed No57c699.99$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.992070%14 W · 6 L+4.1wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+43.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked No57c697.31$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39410155.4%56 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49b…a5b8backed Yes46c652.17$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.17560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+54.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed No55c592.8$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.041163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Yes46c569.39$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.473141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No55c541.99$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.461,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfde…3f9cbacked Yes44c522$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+84.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Yes45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2753756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+28.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Yes41c441.5$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.544854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No49c439.83$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.131,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Yes49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.16666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No15c400$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586119.7%12 W · 49 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5160…ac0bbacked No52c399.4$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed No56c356.35$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004141.5%17 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No55c350$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.555155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No55c325.6$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.0821345.1%96 W · 117 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed Yes48c313.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.154953.1%26 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+27.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Yes54c312.17$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.531030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-44%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabb9…6da4backed Yes47c310.43$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc82a…cc74backed Yes76c300$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed No56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Yes45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16512443.5%54 W · 70 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8650…58fdbacked No51c297.84$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.02450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked No56c297.64$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.68922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.34per pick56cpaid-69.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe1fc…bcdfbacked No55c272.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes50c269$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.516740.1%67 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No55c241.65$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.9121849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Yes44c230$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Yes47c229.99$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2813041.5%54 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Yes51c223.24$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.3921839.4%86 W · 132 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2211657.8%67 W · 49 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x49a1…41cbbacked Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.39771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes43c216.82$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.618829.5%26 W · 62 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-66.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x03d1…ffaabacked Yes43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No56c186.76$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5915459.1%91 W · 63 L-0.6wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb92d…bbcabacked No37c177.78$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes56c151.35$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.1584943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2583…30d5backed Yes77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.871675%12 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+29.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4942…3558backed Yes44c128.23$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.81955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+38.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No55c119$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4530754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bc1…3512backed No57c115.75$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b4…f6d1backed Yes45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.112147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a10…25ffbacked Yes45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32a4…f436backed Yes45c107.24$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No38c106.29$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9249535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Yes53c105$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.354845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69b6…a5f3backed Yes46c100.43$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.53633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Yes50c100.18$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0910331.1%32 W · 71 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a63…b752backed Yes54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad0a…7898backed No56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e52…9078backed Yes54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4612239.3%48 W · 74 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b35…12b3backed Yes78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Yes46c98.17$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.172050%10 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes47c96.34$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3437355.2%206 W · 167 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No54c94.4$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2212562.4%78 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed No43c93.13$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.047058.6%41 W · 29 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes43c91.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.847930.4%24 W · 55 L-9.3wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb6e1…ec41backed Yes44c90.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.91250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebd9…77f6backed Yes45c88.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.891650%8 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ca9…37d8backed No57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes53c85$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5fae…688abacked Yes48c83.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.33560%3 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick29cpaid+110.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.