South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Guadalajara vs. CF América end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67df34bba5debaae9959ee94a37aeddcc70fec3fbabc652e864c1b44a555a94b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,843
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,392
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,843 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 93,490$69,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,089.07 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 26c | 35,171$9,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,058.05 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 27c | 21,678$5,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,762.11 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 73c | 12,576$9,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,444.34 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 10,925$2,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,731.26 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 27c | 8,111$2,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,187.16 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 25c | 6,164$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.74 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 27c | 5,444$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 26c | 3,931$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.32 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 27c | 3,704$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 25c | 1,691$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.7 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 28c | 1,353$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.04 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked No | 75c | 1,338$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f3…0979backed Yes | 30c | 1,302$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.7 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 25c | 1,271$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.43 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 25c | 1,063$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.47 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 25c | 1,004$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.06 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 14c | 783.98$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.97 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Yes | 26c | 610.38$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.7 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 28c | 610.36$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 25c | 600$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 82 | 28%23 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 25c | 489.87$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.77 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 26c | 415$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Yes | 25c | 309.32$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.33 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 25c | 309.25$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.31 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 21c | 275.96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.06 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 19c | 259.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.31 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 26c | 238.68$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.37 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b4…96a4backed No | 74c | 216.74$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb86…cc67backed No | 71c | 210$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 17c | 207.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb72…c3c6backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c40…7c34backed Yes | 28c | 180.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 26c | 172.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c77…a901backed Yes | 19c | 166.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 24c | 160$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 26c | 149.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 25c | 145.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 25c | 142.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8a…4d5fbacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5d…e3f4backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 73c | 110$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfae1…7bb6backed Yes | 28c | 108.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…79c2backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Yes | 25c | 102$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1c37…268abacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe795…0eaabacked Yes | 28c | 81.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 74c | 64.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed Yes | 26c | 61.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79eb…9c72backed Yes | 26c | 53.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked Yes | 26c | 52.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d32…fe50backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 26c | 46.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Yes | 24c | 46.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99a0…c6d3backed Yes | 27c | 42.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abc…509cbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 73c | 28.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 108 | 80.6%87 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39e6…356abacked No | 74c | 13.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Guadalajara vs. CF América end in a draw?this page
- Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-02-14?Yes won
- Will CF América win on 2026-02-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.