South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-02-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6ef5e490db8d6009ef6e0ea2707fe6f40300592407e0ffd732f356e757effc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6ee…0bd0backed Yes | 40c | 14,161$5,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,496.34 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 60c | 9,670$5,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,757.64 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 8,492$4,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,546.59 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 38c | 7,911$2,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,982.77 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 42c | 7,561$3,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,365.54 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 41c | 6,695$2,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,916.77 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 54c | 5,615$3,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,015.31 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 57c | 5,120$2,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,916.21 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 79c | 2,670$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.66 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked No | 57c | 2,536$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.71 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.34per pick | 56cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 57c | 1,568$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.03 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed No | 17c | 1,419$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.09 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…5d07backed No | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 59c | 788.4$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.06 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 59c | 626.54$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.66 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 17c | 611.44$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.45 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 42c | 527$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.4 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked No | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 57c | 406.6$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.31 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 49c | 306.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.83 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 58c | 304$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.88 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed No | 8c | 281.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 40c | 264.97$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.67 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 29c | 222.77$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.14 | 154 | 24%37 W · 117 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 56c | 212.51$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.37 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8f…c01dbacked Yes | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed No | 18c | 194.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 6c | 171$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed No | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c28…fc1abacked No | 63c | 126.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb648…c2ddbacked Yes | 39c | 125$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 17c | 123.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 59c | 121.18$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7695…9cedbacked No | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 52c | 90.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 40c | 90.05$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.03 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b13…3d47backed Yes | 79c | 83.04$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…61a6backed No | 61c | 80.64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed No | 28c | 79.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f76…36ffbacked No | 25c | 78.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 44c | 75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…2b56backed No | 15c | 69.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f3…9576backed Yes | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 68c | 59.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 59c | 54.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 23c | 51.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd944…07d5backed No | 57c | 47.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…f540backed Yes | 80c | 45.36$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 61c | 42.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…c94cbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ea…3b34backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d3…eb28backed Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc5…2585backed No | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b4…96a4backed Yes | 43c | 29.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed Yes | 45c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda6…925abacked No | 61c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Yes | 40c | 26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…8000backed Yes | 79c | 25.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cc…06e8backed No | 59c | 25.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…256fbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Yes | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked No | 58c | 24.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked No | 61c | 22.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c4…252ebacked No | 59c | 20.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…4605backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…4b45backed No | 62c | 18.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed No | 60c | 17.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-02-15?this page
- Will CF Cruz Azul vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?No won
- Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-02-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.