South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF Cruz Azul vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb323323c3c2ea246ab744a360c5c773ef66786f9404e6070500f2f88efc40d8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,193
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,800
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,193 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 3,845$2,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.74 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 3,744$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 88 | 8%7 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 30c | 2,051$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.72 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 30c | 2,040$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.2 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 1,841$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.63 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 1,006$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.47 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 68c | 801.41$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.75 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 15c | 754.95$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.28 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 30c | 723.33$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.49 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 59c | 712.54$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.14 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 688.04$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.37 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 29c | 640$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.6 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 72c | 593$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.04 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 20c | 480$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 59c | 431.99$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.89 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 6c | 420.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 165 | 34.5%57 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 29c | 391.24$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.46 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 34c | 293$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.81 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 11c | 254$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 40c | 233.65$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.57 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 29c | 220.79$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 28c | 206.9$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 71c | 160$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 19c | 156.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 22c | 156.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 77c | 151.6$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked No | 67c | 149.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb648…c2ddbacked Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 30c | 123.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 121.17$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.05 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae1…7bb6backed Yes | 35c | 114.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 34c | 110$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…a8a9backed Yes | 23c | 103.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 69c | 92$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…d90ebacked No | 59c | 91.13$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1656…744ebacked Yes | 29c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…453fbacked Yes | 29c | 74.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e1…ec41backed Yes | 36c | 72.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 16c | 64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5c…ec1cbacked Yes | 28c | 59.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 27c | 59.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 67c | 55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 68c | 53.45$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc377…3e5dbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…4531backed Yes | 31c | 48.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked No | 75c | 44.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 69c | 41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 71c | 38.37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd46…c41abacked No | 71c | 23.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1835…2ca8backed No | 73c | 22.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4953…43e2backed No | 73c | 19.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb44…1c0dbacked No | 73c | 17.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 71c | 16.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed No | 71c | 16.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked No | 71c | 16.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Cruz Azul vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?this page
- Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-02-15?Yes won
- Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-02-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.