South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-02-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf005ed0bb09c686978cc227b43a85052c23d84e6ff4854c9d8977fcd2a735b45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,421
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,421 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 30c | 8,776$2,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,666.78 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 70c | 8,382$5,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,552.17 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 7,525$5,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.09 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 30c | 7,337$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,189.91 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 27c | 5,440$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.17 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 4,684$3,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.39 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 4,418$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 88 | 8%7 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 80c | 3,935$3,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.52 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 29c | 3,500$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 31c | 1,800$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 1,230$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.61 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 1,207$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.65 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 29c | 1,195$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.77 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 25c | 900.27$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.14 | 154 | 24%37 W · 117 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 71c | 801.41$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.15 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 18c | 766.9$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.57 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 70c | 757.73$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.32 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 69c | 699.99$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c3…7336backed Yes | 29c | 662.92$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Yes | 30c | 500.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed No | 71c | 432.39$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.39 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +6.4wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 25c | 390$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 69c | 374$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.94 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 29c | 361.14$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.42 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 70c | 350$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.12 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 71c | 318$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 76c | 281.87$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.53 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 71c | 192.76$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.36 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 72c | 185$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 29c | 174.72$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 31c | 148.39$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 70c | 124$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…9192backed No | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 75.73$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 29c | 74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 88 | 29.5%26 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…443ebacked No | 70c | 73$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe8…2b3cbacked Yes | 30c | 56.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 26c | 49.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 26c | 49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 72c | 43.45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…a8a9backed No | 69c | 42.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf475…f2debacked No | 76c | 42.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked No | 69c | 41.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked Yes | 30c | 38.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked No | 72c | 34.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 70c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ec…27c4backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd7…caa5backed No | 73c | 27.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 62cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…106cbacked No | 72c | 22.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4674backed No | 68c | 22.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked No | 72c | 21.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 67c | 21.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2576…b2f2backed No | 71c | 20.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 73c | 20.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef2f…bfa2backed No | 71c | 18.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e4…8f38backed No | 71c | 17.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed No | 72c | 16.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3326…82c5backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…0665backed No | 69c | 14.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51aa…10dabacked No | 74c | 13.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 77cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-02-15?this page
- Will CF Cruz Azul vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?No won
- Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-02-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.