CS2 · resolved market
Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will any team beat Vitality
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61abbcad6d70412e9c74cc5cebd9f7b7e2e341ff8b3b32c177e0495ce1d4a5f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Yes | 18c | 6,433$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.14 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed No | 63c | 3,707$2,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.63 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…aba5backed Yes | 32c | 1,696$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.28 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Yes | 36c | 1,502$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.54 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9a…6fb2backed No | 61c | 1,454$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 26c | 1,382$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.04 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6702…0051backed Yes | 37c | 1,238$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…7d57backed No | 43c | 1,106$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.14 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…8cc1backed No | 63c | 830$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83be…6f94backed No | 63c | 800$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6587…4f63backed Yes | 37c | 752$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5be7…46eebacked No | 63c | 752$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x252c…391abacked No | 63c | 673$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 67cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…275ebacked Yes | 37c | 558$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…230abacked Yes | 37c | 553.5$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.26 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d04…131dbacked No | 63c | 525$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd68…cdd3backed Yes | 39c | 510$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb74c…9c72backed Yes | 37c | 507$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7170…ed44backed Yes | 39c | 476$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93c0…b919backed Yes | 39c | 468$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 36c | 441.15$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.4 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Yes | 18c | 310$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d6…893dbacked Yes | 65c | 300$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4564…c051backed Yes | 18c | 278.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3087…f8fbbacked Yes | 37c | 277$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…1598backed Yes | 37c | 248$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked No | 73c | 228$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…5cc4backed No | 64c | 217.2$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…9341backed Yes | 17c | 208.01$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…d007backed No | 66c | 183.89$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.74 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e07…292bbacked No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84b5…0f44backed Yes | 36c | 152.78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68ac…86e8backed No | 63c | 139.02$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 16c | 134.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 35c | 125.23$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.4 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…d295backed No | 63c | 110.7$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Yes | 37c | 107.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 17c | 104$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 62c | 81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 30c | 69.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 194 | 23.7%46 W · 148 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55f3…6c39backed No | 54c | 59.37$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +161.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…a06dbacked Yes | 37c | 49.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 25c | 49.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.04 | 160 | 23.8%38 W · 122 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 59c | 48.84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | -9.5wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0d…4d5abacked No | 62c | 45.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dde…eb43backed No | 45c | 44.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb9…6c85backed No | 65c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7556…0f44backed No | 51c | 21.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…9ab8backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8035…cfeabacked Yes | 62c | 16.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed No | 80c | 12.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.51 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.