Lol · resolved market
LoL: LOUD vs RED Canids - Game 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6db6c990374145b9d8b552c82b5781c7dc1da66c8063b0e4678adf3e90318e42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LOUDof LOUD, RED Canids
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed LOUD | 49c | 3,753$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,927.88 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked LOUD | 38c | 3,667$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,271.4 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…97a4backed LOUD | 47c | 2,361$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.25 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed RED Canids | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 219 | 3.2%7 W · 212 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed RED Canids | 45c | 1,598$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.07 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed RED Canids | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.6 | 99 | 62.6%62 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…b0c5backed RED Canids | 47c | 1,456$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.56 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked RED Canids | 53c | 1,200$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.85 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked LOUD | 55c | 1,112$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.35 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked RED Canids | 45c | 1,100$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…bc82backed RED Canids | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +195%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed RED Canids | 60c | 1,000$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.57 | 457 | 39.6%181 W · 276 L | -37.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…1aadbacked RED Canids | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33c…4c38backed LOUD | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 240 | 65%156 W · 84 L | +24.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed LOUD | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.99 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed LOUD | 45c | 834.99$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.42 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…75ccbacked RED Canids | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1,009 | 49.2%496 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39bb…9e51backed RED Canids | 41c | 530$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.65 | 181 | 49.2%89 W · 92 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa50b…74b2backed LOUD | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…3c23backed LOUD | 45c | 470.35$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.35 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc690…ec5bbacked RED Canids | 54c | 459.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 414 | 53.4%221 W · 193 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked RED Canids | 37c | 443.76$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.19 | 373 | 42.9%160 W · 213 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…1483backed RED Canids | 51c | 394.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed RED Canids | 57c | 336.55$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.29 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed LOUD | 57c | 297.68$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.74 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed RED Canids | 60c | 283.12$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.87 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed RED Canids | 54c | 277.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2f…552cbacked LOUD | 65c | 274.36$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.8 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed LOUD | 55c | 227.03$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed RED Canids | 53c | 222.38$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.81 | 743 | 44%327 W · 416 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed LOUD | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 207 | 59.4%123 W · 84 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd321…4089backed RED Canids | 53c | 210.69$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.67 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed RED Canids | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed LOUD | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 461 | 53.6%247 W · 214 L | -24.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…d962backed LOUD | 53c | 196.95$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 791 | 51.8%410 W · 381 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked LOUD | 53c | 195.43$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.85 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed LOUD | 52c | 191.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.09 | 854 | 42.7%365 W · 489 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc7…613ebacked RED Canids | 31c | 188.31$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked LOUD | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…cd1ebacked LOUD | 50c | 140.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.98 | 791 | 56.1%444 W · 347 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked LOUD | 43c | 132.56$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.56 | 264 | 48.5%128 W · 136 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed RED Canids | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5656…32fcbacked RED Canids | 59c | 79.21$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.42 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefae…5cd1backed LOUD | 73c | 69.48$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf17e…5fbebacked RED Canids | 70c | 67.95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…37e7backed LOUD | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 151 | 66.2%100 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…99acbacked LOUD | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…b39ebacked RED Canids | 42c | 59.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…088ebacked LOUD | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked RED Canids | 54c | 48.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 218 | 48.6%106 W · 112 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked LOUD | 42c | 42.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 299 | 40.1%120 W · 179 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed RED Canids | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 549 | 44.4%244 W · 305 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked RED Canids | 46c | 32.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed LOUD | 38c | 32.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked RED Canids | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,048 | 46.1%483 W · 565 L | -43.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked LOUD | 77c | 30.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed LOUD | 49c | 29.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed LOUD | 52c | 29.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed LOUD | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6f…e57cbacked RED Canids | 58c | 24.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d66…aa07backed RED Canids | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…7fa3backed RED Canids | 60c | 20.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 285 | 52.6%150 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb9…6c85backed LOUD | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x637a…a27cbacked LOUD | 61c | 18.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd503…fdcabacked LOUD | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: LOUD vs RED Canids - Game 4 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: RED (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)LOUD won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: LOUD vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Cup PlayoffsLOUD won
- LoL: LOUD vs RED Canids - Game 1 WinnerRED Canids won
- LoL: LOUD vs RED Canids - Game 2 WinnerLOUD won
- LoL: LOUD vs RED Canids - Game 3 WinnerLOUD won
- Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 37.5 in Game 3?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.