Lol · resolved market
LoL: LOUD vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8beba0bff07794b9bbc3599141abe4e60671ba8a8dd331fd1a10d920c320965
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LOUDof LOUD, RED Canids
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,430
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,430 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72ab…edaabacked RED Canids | 2c | 12,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked LOUD | 39c | 7,078$2,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,290.14 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked RED Canids | 9c | 4,676$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.89 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…1135backed RED Canids | 7c | 3,229$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.31 | 440 | 42%185 W · 255 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked RED Canids | 13c | 3,103$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.92 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed RED Canids | 32c | 3,010$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.96 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x395f…dcacbacked RED Canids | 32c | 2,203$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked RED Canids | 26c | 1,975$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.41 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed LOUD | 31c | 1,958$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.03 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked RED Canids | 69c | 1,800$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed RED Canids | 25c | 1,543$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.68 | 146 | 44.5%65 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed RED Canids | 7c | 1,500$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.51 | 854 | 42.7%365 W · 489 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked RED Canids | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed LOUD | 31c | 1,069$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.32 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed LOUD | 40c | 1,023$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.38 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed RED Canids | 55c | 1,017$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.29 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked RED Canids | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 196 | 40.3%79 W · 117 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2f…552cbacked RED Canids | 51c | 800$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.12 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed RED Canids | 68c | 731.99$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.75 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc872…0cc9backed LOUD | 42c | 700$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.65 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed RED Canids | 55c | 661$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.55 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked RED Canids | 7c | 600$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d98…7e3fbacked RED Canids | 52c | 600$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked RED Canids | 58c | 585.39$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.56 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed RED Canids | 62c | 519.62$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.18 | 403 | 47.4%191 W · 212 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…df06backed RED Canids | 69c | 504.61$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.18 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed LOUD | 32c | 500$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…1483backed RED Canids | 40c | 498.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked RED Canids | 51c | 458$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.95 | 536 | 40.3%216 W · 320 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked RED Canids | 15c | 383$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.45 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc690…ec5bbacked RED Canids | 57c | 347.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 414 | 53.4%221 W · 193 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39bb…9e51backed RED Canids | 63c | 347.33$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.95 | 181 | 49.2%89 W · 92 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed RED Canids | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 397 | 50.1%199 W · 198 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…3c23backed LOUD | 35c | 271.43$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.43 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked RED Canids | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 57.4%551 W · 409 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed RED Canids | 8c | 218.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 1,079 | 26%281 W · 798 L | -99.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed RED Canids | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,183 | 52%615 W · 568 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed LOUD | 32c | 189.26$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.7 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed LOUD | 35c | 179.41$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.77 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed RED Canids | 51c | 165$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked RED Canids | 43c | 157$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.05 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed RED Canids | 21c | 156.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed RED Canids | 65c | 142.57$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.67 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked RED Canids | 64c | 106.93$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.95 | 599 | 52.8%316 W · 283 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed LOUD | 39c | 106.53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.11 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…1a19backed RED Canids | 20c | 102.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 380 | 34.7%132 W · 248 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed RED Canids | 41c | 102$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…fd67backed RED Canids | 27c | 92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked RED Canids | 54c | 87.79$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked RED Canids | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 431 | 38.1%164 W · 267 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…79e0backed RED Canids | 69c | 83.77$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 396 | 63.4%251 W · 145 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed RED Canids | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 282 | 40.4%114 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed RED Canids | 69c | 59.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 549 | 44.4%244 W · 305 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecf0…0d38backed RED Canids | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -8.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked RED Canids | 69c | 54$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f38…4ddbbacked RED Canids | 70c | 47.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 196 | 44.9%88 W · 108 L | -16.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked RED Canids | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 722 | 34.1%246 W · 476 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6f…e57cbacked LOUD | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked RED Canids | 55c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed RED Canids | 58c | 34.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a7…203fbacked RED Canids | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…97b2backed RED Canids | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 129 | 62%80 W · 49 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…9a24backed RED Canids | 71c | 28.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x612e…8427backed LOUD | 38c | 26.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked RED Canids | 68c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 453 | 44.6%202 W · 251 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ef…598fbacked RED Canids | 69c | 22.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.46per pick | 63cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c20…6fd4backed RED Canids | 68c | 20.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -12.8wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x713f…22ccbacked RED Canids | 69c | 17.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: LOUD vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: RED (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)LOUD won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: LOUD vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Cup PlayoffsLOUD won
- LoL: LOUD vs RED Canids - Game 1 WinnerRED Canids won
- LoL: LOUD vs RED Canids - Game 3 WinnerLOUD won
- LoL: LOUD vs RED Canids - Game 4 WinnerLOUD won
- Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 37.5 in Game 3?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.