TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: LOUD vs RED Canids - Game 3 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
LOUDof LOUD, RED Canids
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$135,197
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$171,756

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,197 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb7b3…9573backed LOUD66c10,208$6,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,492.161,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72ab…edaabacked RED Canids1c10,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150280%0 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…1aadbacked RED Canids2c3,212$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.84137.7%1 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid+21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed LOUD58c3,126$1,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.91,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed LOUD41c2,790$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,65169756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked RED Canids31c2,511$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.881,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa58f…fd67backed RED Canids1c2,484$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4226346.8%123 W · 140 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed RED Canids36c2,298$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.2685442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed RED Canids69c2,216$1,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,529.041,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked RED Canids62c2,146$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,325.872,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed RED Canids33c2,034$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.621,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf33c…4c38backed LOUD71c2,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59024065%156 W · 84 L+24.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed RED Canids67c1,971$1,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,318.431,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa50b…74b2backed LOUD71c1,706$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.7810443.3%45 W · 59 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed LOUD34c1,670$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.22,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf06…c9ffbacked RED Canids2c1,641$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8163352%329 W · 304 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed RED Canids35c1,615$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.261,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked RED Canids27c1,552$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.421,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0535…75ccbacked RED Canids22c1,100$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2441,00949.2%496 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed RED Canids68c1,084$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.051,00354%542 W · 461 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x469f…3d4fbacked LOUD34c1,078$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.8819640.3%79 W · 117 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf540…cc07backed LOUD47c1,053$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.2815846.8%74 W · 84 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88b9…0fc9backed RED Canids65c1,009$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.4434837.4%130 W · 218 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed LOUD35c1,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6501,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked RED Canids23c872.69$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.91,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcbd6…5f73backed LOUD63c869.61$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.799439.4%37 W · 57 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked RED Canids34c833.5$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.981,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked RED Canids22c799.13$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.0853640.3%216 W · 320 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed RED Canids34c759.72$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.812,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked LOUD59c750$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.51,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked LOUD75c743$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.951,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed RED Canids69c730$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.71,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed RED Canids69c724$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.561,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked RED Canids31c714.9$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.552,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked LOUD31c669.04$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.642,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2f76…6323backed RED Canids6c529.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.921810.1%22 W · 196 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed RED Canids24c522.98$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.81,72829.5%509 W · 1,219 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x39bb…9e51backed RED Canids45c500$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22318149.2%89 W · 92 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f84…202ebacked RED Canids68c500$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34095847.6%456 W · 502 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d98…7e3fbacked RED Canids38c497.86$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.422254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x084b…3de6backed RED Canids38c497.63$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.5114644.5%65 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed LOUD66c451.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.1874344%327 W · 416 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc872…0cc9backed RED Canids48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1925648.2%27 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9720…2c24backed RED Canids6c400$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24166.3%1 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d75…cf0bbacked RED Canids3c400$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131766.3%11 W · 165 L-0.5wins0.00per pick7cpaid-46.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc690…ec5bbacked LOUD79c396.4$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.1541453.4%221 W · 193 L+1.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked RED Canids69c369$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.611,21254.5%660 W · 552 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed RED Canids68c300$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20424240.9%99 W · 143 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed RED Canids50c295.24$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14866445.6%303 W · 361 L+14.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6fa…ac8fbacked RED Canids6c267.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1563448.1%305 W · 329 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed RED Canids19c257$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.891,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed RED Canids28c236.49$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.91,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed RED Canids6c225$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.751,5173.3%50 W · 1,467 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed RED Canids68c220$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.639750.1%199 W · 198 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3333…3c23backed LOUD32c215.63$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.6328042.5%119 W · 161 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf012…1a19backed RED Canids5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1038034.7%132 W · 248 L-1.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7e0…0d61backed RED Canids34c174.23$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.242330.4%7 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65e0…e51dbacked RED Canids18c173.1$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5743138.1%164 W · 267 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f05…85c5backed RED Canids17c171.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3039861.8%246 W · 152 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0775…b0c5backed LOUD61c159.07$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2725547.8%122 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked LOUD39c158.97$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9726448.5%128 W · 136 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd321…4089backed LOUD63c157.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.892347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed LOUD64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2520759.4%123 W · 84 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked LOUD67c149.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.671,44343.4%626 W · 817 L+105.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed RED Canids59c146.72$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.1154944.4%244 W · 305 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed RED Canids65c142.57$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.671,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed LOUD44c131$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.361,18352%615 W · 568 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x520e…d75abacked LOUD35c125.64$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6728837.5%108 W · 180 L-16.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked RED Canids27c111$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.062,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked LOUD57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4321848.6%106 W · 112 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0267…dc5abacked RED Canids34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341258.3%7 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.29per pick30cpaid+110.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbd12…5503backed RED Canids34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-53.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ec5…9339backed RED Canids42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x545d…088ebacked RED Canids50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.53847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2f…552cbacked LOUD43c99.98$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9916349.7%81 W · 82 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed RED Canids28c93.85$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.171,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x0a84…7a8ebacked LOUD66c93.55$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.813100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed RED Canids17c89.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.091,07926%281 W · 798 L-99.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-46.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked LOUD33c88.49$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.542,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked RED Canids24c86.71$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8759952.8%316 W · 283 L-3.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xefae…5cd1backed LOUD73c82.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.452755.6%15 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked LOUD41c82$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.145344.6%202 W · 251 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd711…749cbacked RED Canids62c62.79$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8626049.2%128 W · 132 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed RED Canids56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.628240.4%114 W · 168 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2091…b4f8backed LOUD45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.51,17547.4%557 W · 618 L+42.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce4d…99acbacked LOUD60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203145.2%14 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4e3…b39ebacked LOUD38c39.68$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.688854.5%48 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5656…32fcbacked LOUD46c33.02$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.839245.7%42 W · 50 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d6f…e57cbacked LOUD32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2516044.4%71 W · 89 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde6e…7fa3backed LOUD41c27.01$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0128552.6%150 W · 135 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.