TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5656…32fc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
95
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Lol, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST9245.7%42 W · 50 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 92 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 3 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$126.6
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$681Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$680.65
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.23
LoL: RED Canids vs Sentinels (BO3) - Americas Cup Playoffsbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,122.4
LoL: Cloud9 vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$17.92
LoL: RED Canids vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$658Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+120.7%+$793.93
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Berlin International Gaming (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsbacked Berlin International Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+240.7%+$328.53
LoL: Cloud9 vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - Americas Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+150.6%+$230.78
LoL: Cloud9 vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$153
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Berlin International Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$140.71
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+40.8%+$89.61
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$27.88
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$71.91
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+70.7%+$54.23
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$280.83
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$99.95
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$659Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$658.91
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$563Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+72.8%+$409.93
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 4 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.55
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45.51
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 3 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25.3%+$24.64
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$99.3
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.65
LoL: Sentinels vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$272.06
LoL: Sentinels vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$464.99
Showing 25 of 92 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$49.32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.