Lol · resolved market
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Berlin International Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc35ccedecc799a138bec84a8864914ec4b29446089f4f02aebf8f3168acc84a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Berlin International Gamingof Eintracht Spandau, Berlin International Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked Eintracht Spandau | 56c | 6,062$3,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,376.87 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Eintracht Spandau | 35c | 4,100$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.49 | 858 | 52.3%449 W · 409 L | +35.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Eintracht Spandau | 57c | 3,208$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.64 | 2,012 | 58.1%1,168 W · 844 L | +84.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…cb1bbacked Berlin International Gaming | 61c | 2,813$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.71 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ea…bbb3backed Berlin International Gaming | 44c | 2,565$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.06 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -11.1wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…43c8backed Berlin International Gaming | 78c | 2,081$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.85 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Berlin International Gaming | 43c | 2,052$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.52 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Berlin International Gaming | 52c | 1,870$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.7 | 450 | 41.1%185 W · 265 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Berlin International Gaming | 75c | 1,506$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.56 | 769 | 53.4%411 W · 358 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x141f…7711backed Berlin International Gaming | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Eintracht Spandau | 3c | 976$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a7…c94bbacked Berlin International Gaming | 57c | 837.86$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.67 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…c665backed Berlin International Gaming | 50c | 802$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401 | 331 | 43.8%145 W · 186 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Berlin International Gaming | 56c | 799.41$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.14 | 1,603 | 42.4%679 W · 924 L | -18.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Berlin International Gaming | 57c | 728.77$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.62 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Eintracht Spandau | 43c | 625.96$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.16 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5280backed Eintracht Spandau | 61c | 618.79$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ae…a7b9backed Eintracht Spandau | 25c | 600.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Eintracht Spandau | 54c | 522.23$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 283 | 61.5%174 W · 109 L | +18.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Eintracht Spandau | 44c | 497.83$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.34 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked Eintracht Spandau | 40c | 428.33$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.15 | 402 | 37.8%152 W · 250 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Eintracht Spandau | 48c | 422$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.63 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…b287backed Eintracht Spandau | 15c | 401.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.25 | 239 | 15.9%38 W · 201 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Berlin International Gaming | 56c | 375$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.25 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Eintracht Spandau | 16c | 372.77$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Berlin International Gaming | 56c | 362.95$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.14 | 1,246 | 52.6%656 W · 590 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Eintracht Spandau | 61c | 326.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,012 | 47%476 W · 536 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Eintracht Spandau | 31c | 324.16$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.43 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Berlin International Gaming | 55c | 310.23$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.28 | 2,910 | 38.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L | -120.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Eintracht Spandau | 44c | 305.78$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.64 | 1,079 | 26%281 W · 798 L | -99.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe46a…f06abacked Berlin International Gaming | 74c | 269.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.33 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +7.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked Berlin International Gaming | 53c | 264.15$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.15 | 210 | 59%124 W · 86 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5656…32fcbacked Eintracht Spandau | 63c | 222.39$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.71 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Eintracht Spandau | 45c | 220$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…1a19backed Eintracht Spandau | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 385 | 34.8%134 W · 251 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Berlin International Gaming | 49c | 217.12$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.73 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Berlin International Gaming | 34c | 212.75$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.42 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Berlin International Gaming | 46c | 210.19$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.83 | 2,364 | 40.7%963 W · 1,401 L | -57.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Eintracht Spandau | 22c | 209.41$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 1,008 | 42.5%428 W · 580 L | -24.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Eintracht Spandau | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,223 | 58.1%710 W · 513 L | +43.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Berlin International Gaming | 57c | 148.5$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.94 | 1,730 | 29.5%510 W · 1,220 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed Eintracht Spandau | 26c | 134.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 807 | 50.8%410 W · 397 L | +48.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Berlin International Gaming | 48c | 125.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.83 | 1,412 | 43.8%618 W · 794 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Eintracht Spandau | 22c | 121.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…ffc6backed Eintracht Spandau | 56c | 118.78$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.94 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Berlin International Gaming | 60c | 115.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Berlin International Gaming | 54c | 111$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.64 | 453 | 44.6%202 W · 251 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…9896backed Eintracht Spandau | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 509 | 45.8%233 W · 276 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…b365backed Berlin International Gaming | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 268 | 65.7%176 W · 92 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc168…5024backed Berlin International Gaming | 80c | 99.41$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Eintracht Spandau | 56c | 99.21$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 2,707 | 35.9%972 W · 1,735 L | -152.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1229…3691backed Berlin International Gaming | 65c | 92.78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Eintracht Spandau | 15c | 92.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fd…4ab3backed Eintracht Spandau | 66c | 75.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa649…af7dbacked Berlin International Gaming | 53c | 59.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Eintracht Spandau | 60c | 58.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 766 | 39.6%303 W · 463 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd1…17ccbacked Eintracht Spandau | 20c | 56.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 601 | 24.1%145 W · 456 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0e…9f75backed Eintracht Spandau | 55c | 54.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Berlin International Gaming | 56c | 54.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 284 | 58.5%166 W · 118 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed Eintracht Spandau | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 145 | 66.2%96 W · 49 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Berlin International Gaming | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 386 | 59.8%231 W · 155 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Eintracht Spandau | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Berlin International Gaming | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Berlin International Gaming | 53c | 40.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 403 | 47.4%191 W · 212 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd0…72c0backed Eintracht Spandau | 40c | 37.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -4.2wins | -0.32per pick | 63cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Berlin International Gaming | 45c | 36.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Eintracht Spandau | 39c | 36.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c02…ca9cbacked Eintracht Spandau | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Eintracht Spandau | 31c | 34.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 261 | 44.1%115 W · 146 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…7909backed Berlin International Gaming | 77c | 29.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…16c7backed Berlin International Gaming | 78c | 26.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9678backed Berlin International Gaming | 76c | 26.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Eintracht Spandau | 54c | 25.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4d…58c2backed Berlin International Gaming | 77c | 22.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +53%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeaa…e2d0backed Berlin International Gaming | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Eintracht Spandau | 57c | 18.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 549 | 44.4%244 W · 305 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Berlin International Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Berlin International Gaming (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division PlayoffsBerlin International Gaming won
- LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Berlin International Gaming - Game 1 WinnerEintracht Spandau won
- LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Berlin International Gaming - Game 3 WinnerBerlin International Gaming won
- LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Berlin International Gaming - Game 4 WinnerBerlin International Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.