TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Sentinels vs LYON - Game 3 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sentinelsof Sentinels, LYON
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$318,839
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$373,079

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $318,839 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0c56…3e41backed LYON0c48,354$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.84922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick16cpaid-55.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Sentinels64c12,210$7,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,435.961,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed LYON74c11,425$8,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,437.4925446.1%117 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bd8…a879backed LYON66c9,500$6,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,230.721028.1%59 W · 151 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Sentinels34c8,105$2,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,324.151,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xceec…4ad9backed LYON31c8,084$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5003154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafda…0fccbacked Sentinels73c7,430$5,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,977.0116654.8%91 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25c2…cd02backed Sentinels27c7,100$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2005451.9%28 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x89c1…ea0dbacked LYON66c7,095$4,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,714.59650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Sentinels34c6,783$2,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,446.1769756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x910d…cfc0backed LYON60c6,370$3,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,814.518451.6%95 W · 89 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked LYON60c5,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00066437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Sentinels32c4,841$1,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,306.832,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33c…4c38backed Sentinels59c4,703$2,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,929.524065%156 W · 84 L+24.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed Sentinels27c4,368$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,170.128827.4%79 W · 209 L-30.6wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Sentinels71c4,304$3,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,256.1126246.6%122 W · 140 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Sentinels29c4,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,859.973,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2615…6c59backed Sentinels11c3,690$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,279.6267.7%2 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-58.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked LYON36c3,464$1,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,245.661,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5860…020bbacked Sentinels72c3,100$2,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.413360.2%80 W · 53 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked LYON75c2,819$2,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,113.262,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Sentinels21c2,611$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,054.1653640.3%216 W · 320 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed LYON72c2,578$1,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,857.739851.8%206 W · 192 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed Sentinels20c2,507$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,996.111129.7%33 W · 78 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Sentinels28c2,500$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80044047.5%209 W · 231 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked LYON36c2,317$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.091,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdab8…1bc7backed Sentinels21c2,100$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,65414936.9%55 W · 94 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed LYON74c2,059$1,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,532.339749.1%195 W · 202 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed LYON74c2,027$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003850%19 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b12…43c8backed LYON73c2,013$1,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.257343.8%32 W · 41 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed LYON74c2,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4701,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Sentinels27c1,949$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,424.2519150.8%97 W · 94 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Sentinels35c1,923$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,245.241,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Sentinels27c1,838$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,348.7850848.4%246 W · 262 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x00a1…5062backed Sentinels29c1,730$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.2413557%77 W · 58 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Sentinels13c1,582$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,381.541,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed LYON74c1,531$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.7731153.4%166 W · 145 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked LYON74c1,500$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11095951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed LYON74c1,500$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1101,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed LYON74c1,499$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.881,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61e9…cb1bbacked LYON16c1,458$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.136149.2%30 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed LYON80c1,450$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160.2159647.7%284 W · 312 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed LYON71c1,412$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00048353.4%258 W · 225 L-19.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Sentinels26c1,377$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.9948448.6%235 W · 249 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9560…9467backed LYON75c1,308$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.3520454.9%112 W · 92 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked Sentinels25c1,214$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.0727447.8%131 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39bb…9e51backed Sentinels22c1,200$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.218149.2%89 W · 92 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Sentinels34c1,084$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.523,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d05…6f11backed Sentinels20c1,067$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.6710044%44 W · 56 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Sentinels26c1,048$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.532,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x511a…68bebacked LYON72c1,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7206045%27 W · 33 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Sentinels31c946.8$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.2932345.8%148 W · 175 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad50…81a8backed LYON70c900$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.396056.7%34 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Sentinels23c840$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.811950.4%60 W · 59 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5656…32fcbacked LYON33c817$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.069245.7%42 W · 50 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x084b…3de6backed LYON30c804.45$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.5314644.5%65 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked LYON77c754.3$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.391,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Sentinels41c712.7$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.282,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5d2…1b03backed Sentinels26c707.69$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.6911945.4%54 W · 65 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcad2…c9e4backed LYON72c628.08$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.2227248.9%133 W · 139 L-14.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed Sentinels25c619.87$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.871,24152.7%654 W · 587 L+5.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d4d…fe4abacked Sentinels65c596.92$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.928359%49 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fd1…17ccbacked LYON2c595.52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7660124.1%145 W · 456 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Sentinels17c565.88$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.081,72829.5%509 W · 1,219 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb91…7db6backed LYON72c512.5$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36930348.8%148 W · 155 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x00f5…7b42backed Sentinels20c506.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.24445.5%20 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Sentinels27c506.2$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.5313136.6%48 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked LYON61c455$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.678050%390 W · 390 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf06…c9ffbacked Sentinels65c450$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.563352%329 W · 304 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc926…8058backed Sentinels52c411.78$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.8525560.8%155 W · 100 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba50…58b1backed LYON75c410.63$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3084669.6%32 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Sentinels36c405.23$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.661,07926%281 W · 798 L-99.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-46.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Sentinels26c400$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29686649.7%430 W · 436 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked Sentinels27c400$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29248143.2%208 W · 273 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed Sentinels10c360$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32418742.8%80 W · 107 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Sentinels20c358$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.042,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb003…d962backed Sentinels15c341.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.5379151.8%410 W · 381 L+15.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked LYON28c340$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.51,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x873d…97b5backed Sentinels26c338.9$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.228924.6%71 W · 218 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed LYON71c335.98$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.5566445.6%303 W · 361 L+14.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9135…a63ebacked Sentinels71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877919%15 W · 64 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-58.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f0…6718backed LYON74c300$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2227169%49 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed LYON74c300$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2221,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa57d…0670backed LYON68c300$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.0711631%36 W · 80 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked LYON71c295.77$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21082161%501 W · 320 L+1.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked LYON70c285.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,18548.1%570 W · 615 L-2.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad33…bf82backed Sentinels72c269.82$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.74875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f83…d411backed LYON72c260$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.311669.8%81 W · 35 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6eb8…c665backed Sentinels59c253.8$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.833143.8%145 W · 186 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…65c5backed LYON71c253.33$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.6510761.7%66 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8510…57e6backed LYON34c247.63$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.19728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-41.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed LYON35c215.08$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4694134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed Sentinels26c207.53$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.5322349.3%110 W · 113 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6463…1f5cbacked LYON71c200$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14217143.3%74 W · 97 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26b1…c3ddbacked LYON27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5414544.8%65 W · 80 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3740…f3efbacked Sentinels14c200$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1729435.1%33 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbafa…02e0backed LYON25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5080150.7%406 W · 395 L+48.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x437b…0ba4backed LYON73c199.99$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.9915255.3%84 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x858e…1c3bbacked Sentinels31c199.71$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.886237.1%23 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Sentinels54c187.14$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.771,27057%724 W · 546 L+45.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.