Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39bb9a53c3551d5e082699de2c9d0a17f1e4379134f297431aed59750791172e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LYONof LYON, Sentinels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Sentinels | 44c | 2,461$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.11 | 131 | 36.6%48 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…c4adbacked LYON | 63c | 2,400$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.99 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Sentinels | 35c | 1,560$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.54 | 788 | 49.9%393 W · 395 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…8927backed LYON | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 420 | 50.5%212 W · 208 L | +27.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x115f…e217backed Sentinels | 44c | 1,400$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -6.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed LYON | 56c | 1,359$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Sentinels | 51c | 1,200$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.74 | 2,248 | 37.3%838 W · 1,410 L | -33.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Sentinels | 37c | 1,093$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.16 | 274 | 47.8%131 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Sentinels | 37c | 1,078$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.37 | 440 | 47.5%209 W · 231 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed LYON | 49c | 1,033$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.59 | 824 | 52.7%434 W · 390 L | +41.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked LYON | 63c | 1,032$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.75 | 825 | 60.8%502 W · 323 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed LYON | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…7921backed LYON | 65c | 860.46$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.46 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c56…3e41backed Sentinels | 12c | 837.78$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.46 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Sentinels | 44c | 776.99$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.87 | 1,612 | 48.4%780 W · 832 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c47…1189backed Sentinels | 37c | 678.38$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed Sentinels | 42c | 618.41$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked LYON | 55c | 549.93$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.47 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed LYON | 58c | 492.99$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.05 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Sentinels | 47c | 415$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.05 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8d…8775backed LYON | 53c | 415$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.05 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb953…5393backed LYON | 54c | 369.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.72 | 571 | 51.5%294 W · 277 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Sentinels | 41c | 346.6$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.96 | 160 | 35%56 W · 104 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…c91dbacked Sentinels | 47c | 311.03$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed LYON | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 2,370 | 32%758 W · 1,612 L | +42.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Sentinels | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 150 | 31.3%47 W · 103 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…1cd6backed LYON | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 149 | 35.6%53 W · 96 L | -12.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked LYON | 53c | 191.84$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.41 | 1,231 | 48.2%593 W · 638 L | +25.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked LYON | 50c | 182$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…d461backed Sentinels | 37c | 158.95$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.81 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8581…e74dbacked Sentinels | 46c | 135.76$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.39 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…c9cbbacked Sentinels | 43c | 117.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed LYON | 30c | 109.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 420 | 55.2%232 W · 188 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…d962backed LYON | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 794 | 51.8%411 W · 383 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked LYON | 63c | 95.87$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.87 | 1,061 | 44.8%475 W · 586 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…87e4backed Sentinels | 37c | 94.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +178.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ee…1391backed Sentinels | 60c | 79.59$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked LYON | 50c | 74.05$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.81 | 134 | 36.6%49 W · 85 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Sentinels | 39c | 58.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b42…cf90backed LYON | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…a520backed Sentinels | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked LYON | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed LYON | 56c | 39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 1,613 | 17.5%283 W · 1,330 L | -246.6wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…4c2cbacked LYON | 56c | 35.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01ad…d823backed LYON | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x713f…22ccbacked LYON | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d18…3d29backed Sentinels | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Sentinels | 43c | 25.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed LYON | 56c | 21.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked LYON | 69c | 21.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed LYON | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf4…3f9bbacked LYON | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)this page
- Game Handicap: LY (-2.5) vs Sentinels (+2.5)Sentinels won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Sentinels vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Lock In PlayoffsLYON won
- LoL: Sentinels vs LYON - Game 1 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: Sentinels vs LYON - Game 2 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: Sentinels vs LYON - Game 3 WinnerSentinels won
- LoL: Sentinels vs LYON - Game 4 WinnerLYON won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.