TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Sentinels vs LYON - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
LYONof Sentinels, LYON
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$192,166
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$242,814

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,166 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0c56…3e41backed Sentinels0c24,980$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.98922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick16cpaid-55.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a35…9015backed Sentinels14c19,640$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70036943.9%162 W · 207 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61e9…cb1bbacked Sentinels35c15,754$5,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,504.086149.2%30 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Sentinels30c7,084$2,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,148.6264155.7%357 W · 284 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked LYON65c5,000$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,75066437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed LYON70c4,484$3,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.8226246.6%122 W · 140 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed LYON66c4,035$2,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,374.7269756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Sentinels28c3,043$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.0649940.7%203 W · 296 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked LYON71c2,860$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.372,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked LYON72c2,785$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.7246552.7%245 W · 220 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33c…4c38backed LYON76c2,615$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.6724065%156 W · 84 L+24.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Sentinels16c2,171$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.781,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Sentinels6c2,075$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.41,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed LYON72c2,054$1,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.821,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceec…4ad9backed Sentinels24c1,751$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.733154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x858e…1c3bbacked Sentinels17c1,725$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.696237.1%23 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x084b…3de6backed LYON70c1,683$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.7714644.5%65 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Sentinels30c1,667$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50051852.7%273 W · 245 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed LYON74c1,606$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.7525446.1%117 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked LYON74c1,467$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.881,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Sentinels11c1,379$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.11,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked LYON79c1,267$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.051,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed LYON70c1,171$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.3539749.1%195 W · 202 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed LYON69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3101,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed Sentinels28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28013946%64 W · 75 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked LYON71c999.91$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.291,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc5…1135backed Sentinels20c875.57$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.1144042%185 W · 255 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked LYON71c750.02$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.421,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdab8…1bc7backed Sentinels23c724.34$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.6314936.9%55 W · 94 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d4d…fe4abacked LYON71c637.51$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.888359%49 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Sentinels21c586.18$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.741,02539.6%406 W · 619 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed Sentinels13c559.62$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7028827.4%79 W · 209 L-30.6wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x83af…4084backed LYON71c537.64$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.9228350.5%143 W · 140 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f0…6718backed LYON80c531.28$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.467169%49 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b12…5f8fbacked Sentinels29c519.28$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.5930856.5%174 W · 134 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Sentinels18c444.44$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8039152.2%204 W · 187 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba50…58b1backed LYON72c430.56$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.564669.6%32 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked Sentinels12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,44343.4%626 W · 817 L+105.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Sentinels18c409$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6229143.3%126 W · 165 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Sentinels17c399$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.542,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed LYON65c365$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.7526354%142 W · 121 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Sentinels18c316.13$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.982,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked Sentinels10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3026448.5%128 W · 136 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Sentinels29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8740347.4%191 W · 212 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed Sentinels28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8423932.6%78 W · 161 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2f…552cbacked LYON79c288.2$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.8816349.7%81 W · 82 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed LYON71c279.97$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.233,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Sentinels20c279.4$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.732,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Sentinels29c250$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.519150.8%97 W · 94 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x873d…97b5backed Sentinels10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2528924.6%71 W · 218 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Sentinels19c250$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.512450%62 W · 62 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed Sentinels4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1018742.8%80 W · 107 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Sentinels15c242$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1353640.3%216 W · 320 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb91…7db6backed Sentinels44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030348.8%148 W · 155 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Sentinels35c210$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.512840.6%52 W · 76 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Sentinels18c202.91$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.321,72829.5%509 W · 1,219 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked LYON70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605862.1%36 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa4e…5973backed LYON74c158.75$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7655744%245 W · 312 L-17.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd011…ac5dbacked Sentinels32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2091…b4f8backed Sentinels30c150$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451,17547.4%557 W · 618 L+42.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d51…d971backed LYON72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8967057.5%385 W · 285 L+24.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbafa…02e0backed Sentinels23c135.22$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3180150.7%406 W · 395 L+48.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x520e…d75abacked Sentinels35c132$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.228837.5%108 W · 180 L-16.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa390…c7d9backed Sentinels34c117.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407823.1%18 W · 60 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+5.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sentinels12c113.66$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.122,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Sentinels28c108.48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.211,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf006…bf1ebacked LYON72c102.78$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7869247%325 W · 367 L+1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ec5…9339backed LYON72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39bb…9e51backed LYON70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3018149.2%89 W · 92 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x437b…0ba4backed LYON66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3415255.3%84 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed Sentinels20c99.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,29426.6%344 W · 950 L+65.3wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c03…ffcdbacked Sentinels21c96.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017448.3%84 W · 90 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed LYON76c92.03$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0367763.4%429 W · 248 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Sentinels13c81.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.931,07926%281 W · 798 L-99.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-46.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked LYON67c80$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.457333%189 W · 384 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb003…d962backed LYON70c80$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2479151.8%410 W · 381 L+15.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf2…0f0dbacked LYON72c77.58$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.729157.1%52 W · 39 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3871…741ebacked LYON69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.463959%23 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f38…4ddbbacked Sentinels30c65.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0419644.9%88 W · 108 L-16.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Sentinels21c65.31$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.811,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x21d3…6c27backed LYON80c55.56$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.116058.3%35 W · 25 L-0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed Sentinels29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1561849.8%308 W · 310 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x868f…5da6backed LYON80c50.09$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0219656.6%111 W · 85 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac2c…68dbbacked Sentinels30c49.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c4e…b978backed Sentinels24c48.59$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.851822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-47%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Sentinels41c48.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013556.3%76 W · 59 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8510…57e6backed Sentinels27c46.4$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.53728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-41.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba48…907cbacked LYON69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4898163.8%626 W · 355 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed LYON78c41.18$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.061,27057%724 W · 546 L+45.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf544…4f8cbacked LYON67c38.8$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.810850.9%55 W · 53 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d60…50dbbacked LYON71c35.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2115052.7%79 W · 71 L-8.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed Sentinels33c34.94$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5338835.3%137 W · 251 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x625a…7bb3backed LYON69c34$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5412548%60 W · 65 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f83…d411backed LYON69c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.311669.8%81 W · 35 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked LYON69c29.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1646560%279 W · 186 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Sentinels35c29$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.153860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.7wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0de1…916dbacked LYON71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1710360.2%62 W · 41 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…af90backed LYON71c28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0414067.9%95 W · 45 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5656…32fcbacked LYON59c23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.439245.7%42 W · 50 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2b8…8712backed LYON74c22.53$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8617258.7%101 W · 71 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.