TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Sentinels vs LYON - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
LYONof Sentinels, LYON
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$150,765
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$181,562

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,765 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed LYON68c14,178$9,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,509.181,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed LYON69c12,222$8,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,788.8131153.4%166 W · 145 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a35…9015backed Sentinels18c10,971$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00036943.9%162 W · 207 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Sentinels31c9,478$2,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,958.325446.1%117 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Sentinels13c7,841$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.381,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Sentinels31c5,465$1,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,711.339749.1%195 W · 202 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Sentinels31c5,000$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.9828361.5%174 W · 109 L+18.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Sentinels30c4,222$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.951,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed LYON74c3,179$2,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.621,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Sentinels32c3,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96044047.5%209 W · 231 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Sentinels29c2,570$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.323,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x910d…cfc0backed LYON77c2,406$1,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56518451.6%95 W · 89 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked LYON70c2,347$1,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.0978050%390 W · 390 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked LYON69c2,308$1,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.61,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Sentinels6c2,249$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.021,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf06…c9ffbacked Sentinels2c2,000$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.463352%329 W · 304 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Sentinels9c1,985$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.641,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x511a…68bebacked Sentinels31c1,757$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.546045%27 W · 33 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Sentinels30c1,667$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016745.5%76 W · 91 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed LYON69c1,522$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.991,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Sentinels3c1,444$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028150.5%142 W · 139 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Sentinels31c1,300$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40311950.4%60 W · 59 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed LYON69c1,254$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.021,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked Sentinels5c1,250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,44343.4%626 W · 817 L+105.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x084b…3de6backed LYON79c1,060$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.914644.5%65 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Sentinels17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.7671249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d05…6f11backed LYON69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31010044%44 W · 56 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdab8…1bc7backed Sentinels11c923.99$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.5614936.9%55 W · 94 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Sentinels32c900$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28895951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c0f…fe01backed LYON69c769.92$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.1136260.5%219 W · 143 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked LYON69c724.56$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.615427.8%15 W · 39 L-11.1wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-41.8%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Sentinels32c717.07$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.352,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed LYON71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2392342.7%394 W · 529 L-16.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb91…7db6backed Sentinels10c678.3$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7030348.8%148 W · 155 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed Sentinels31c645$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.952846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49a6…a658backed Sentinels32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20050051.6%258 W · 242 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed LYON71c600$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1741,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa57d…0670backed Sentinels4c599.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2711631%36 W · 80 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Sentinels28c579.55$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.322,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Sentinels29c568.25$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.2250848.4%246 W · 262 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcad2…c9e4backed LYON71c565.28$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.2827248.9%133 W · 139 L-14.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked LYON71c525.62$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.4319150.8%97 W · 94 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Sentinels31c499.97$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.998254.9%45 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Sentinels20c450.76$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.8554944.4%244 W · 305 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f2f…552cbacked LYON79c425$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8816349.7%81 W · 82 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8542…9405backed Sentinels4c417.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.718910.1%19 W · 170 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick12cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc405…4affbacked Sentinels32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014761.2%90 W · 57 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked LYON67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9986649.7%430 W · 436 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Sentinels31c300$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9366445.6%303 W · 361 L+14.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b72…6dbebacked Sentinels4c300$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1266116.5%109 W · 552 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Sentinels30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0640…1cd6backed LYON70c292.42$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.8514935.6%53 W · 96 L-12.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Sentinels27c282.94$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.951,07926%281 W · 798 L-99.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-46.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x873d…97b5backed Sentinels21c278.06$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.828924.6%71 W · 218 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d83…272cbacked LYON74c271.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0659241.9%248 W · 344 L-16.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked LYON71c235.06$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9411742.7%50 W · 67 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa4e…5973backed LYON71c225.96$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.9655744%245 W · 312 L-17.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Sentinels31c225.81$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7039152.2%204 W · 187 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba50…58b1backed LYON80c213.26$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.654669.6%32 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x437b…0ba4backed LYON80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4015255.3%84 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a16…de20backed Sentinels7c200$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1327455.8%153 W · 121 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39bb…9e51backed LYON68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6418149.2%89 W · 92 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed LYON69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6463…1f5cbacked Sentinels31c200$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6117143.3%74 W · 97 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd011…ac5dbacked Sentinels30c192.47$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5825648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bd8…a879backed LYON67c173.56$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2821028.1%59 W · 151 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Sentinels24c164$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.422,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa390…c7d9backed Sentinels31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507823.1%18 W · 60 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+5.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc4d1…3d4cbacked Sentinels31c145.16$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4530421.4%65 W · 239 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d51…d971backed LYON69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9367057.5%385 W · 285 L+24.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0106…0e63backed Sentinels32c141.71$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4511954.6%65 W · 54 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a9d…69fbbacked Sentinels31c140.1$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4315536.8%57 W · 98 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Sentinels32c138.31$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2616154%87 W · 74 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb003…d962backed Sentinels31c130$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.379151.8%410 W · 381 L+15.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2091…b4f8backed Sentinels31c120$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.21,17547.4%557 W · 618 L+42.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f83…d411backed LYON71c110$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.111669.8%81 W · 35 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked LYON69c109.97$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.093161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf671…3dd7backed Sentinels32c103.13$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3343348.7%211 W · 222 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked LYON79c102$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7853640.3%216 W · 320 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed LYON70c97$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.126354%142 W · 121 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd711…749cbacked Sentinels32c94.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2626049.2%128 W · 132 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf006…bf1ebacked Sentinels31c90.32$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2869247%325 W · 367 L+1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1173…1d74backed LYON71c80.63$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3833040.3%133 W · 197 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ddc…7b24backed Sentinels20c74.49$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512054.2%65 W · 55 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked LYON69c72.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2613940.3%56 W · 83 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x56ce…ea8dbacked LYON69c72.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.331942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed LYON70c70.88$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0523243.5%101 W · 131 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Sentinels31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2059647.7%284 W · 312 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6d7…526dbacked Sentinels33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013544.4%60 W · 75 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd872…7fd5backed Sentinels31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.63043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f59…bd2dbacked Sentinels30c57.43$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.231225%3 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-42.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x847d…2505backed Sentinels32c55.34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.712060%12 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bf2…0f0dbacked Sentinels31c54.84$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179157.1%52 W · 39 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Sentinels27c53.92$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.61,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xf544…4f8cbacked LYON71c53$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3710850.9%55 W · 53 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Sentinels32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161,35651.1%693 W · 663 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c4e…b978backed Sentinels29c49.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.611822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-47%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x625a…7bb3backed LYON69c49.23$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2612548%60 W · 65 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c03…ffcdbacked Sentinels31c48.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517448.3%84 W · 90 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed LYON69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.481,21858.1%708 W · 510 L+44.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.