TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Sentinels vs LYON - Game 4 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
LYONof Sentinels, LYON
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$182,617
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$200,977

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,617 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0c56…3e41backed Sentinels0c24,633$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.14922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick16cpaid-55.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x910d…cfc0backed LYON72c15,500$11,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,339.9818451.6%95 W · 89 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked LYON23c9,492$2,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,316.541,54062.6%964 W · 576 L+158.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed LYON56c7,247$4,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,182.9150770%355 W · 152 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked Sentinels52c6,369$3,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,339.1918961.4%116 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Sentinels28c6,199$1,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,735.581,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed LYON50c5,742$2,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,881.621,63540.2%657 W · 978 L+48.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Sentinels30c5,731$1,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,738.6125446.1%117 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed LYON71c5,725$4,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,660.1259647.7%284 W · 312 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33c…4c38backed LYON69c5,491$3,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,677.0124065%156 W · 84 L+24.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Sentinels27c4,675$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.3348548.7%236 W · 249 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Sentinels29c4,612$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,314.513141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+67.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Sentinels27c4,266$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.953,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ee…1391backed LYON58c4,189$2,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,760.69149.5%45 W · 46 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed LYON77c4,109$3,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.071,46961.4%902 W · 567 L-20.4wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf704…bed4backed LYON74c4,054$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.0517838.8%69 W · 109 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed LYON51c3,879$1,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,890.8563746.5%296 W · 341 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x858e…1c3bbacked Sentinels67c2,856$1,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,915.076237.1%23 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25c2…cd02backed Sentinels22c2,726$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.45451.9%28 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed Sentinels27c2,378$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.0528827.4%79 W · 209 L-30.6wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Sentinels30c2,036$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.6114038.6%54 W · 86 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked LYON71c2,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5804151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked Sentinels26c1,923$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9827447.8%131 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Sentinels28c1,724$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.765427.8%15 W · 39 L-11.1wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-41.8%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed LYON70c1,625$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.5826246.6%122 W · 140 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Sentinels29c1,500$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.5811950.4%60 W · 59 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked Sentinels23c1,483$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.3915149%74 W · 77 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Sentinels51c1,441$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.521,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5860…020bbacked Sentinels73c1,384$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.7213360.2%80 W · 53 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed LYON73c1,337$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.0613136.6%48 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Sentinels28c1,324$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.762,83641.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L-12.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cc5…1135backed LYON51c1,157$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.5244042%185 W · 255 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36f2…4ca4backed LYON73c1,152$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.0515062%93 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked LYON41c1,068$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.131,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc926…8058backed LYON80c1,030$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.125560.8%155 W · 100 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked LYON74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26095951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed LYON73c1,000$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.711,44157.4%827 W · 614 L+35.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed LYON57c938.22$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.872,91038.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L-120.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x217a…5dfabacked LYON80c875.62$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.6247557.7%274 W · 201 L-27.6wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f2f…552cbacked LYON69c859.88$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.7216349.7%81 W · 82 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6eb8…c665backed Sentinels30c844.83$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25033143.8%145 W · 186 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9702…1042backed Sentinels30c832.87$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.861546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf06…c9ffbacked Sentinels36c824.03$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.1663551.8%329 W · 306 L+39.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Sentinels27c799.99$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21632345.8%148 W · 175 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x661e…81d6backed LYON54c762.45$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.429856.4%168 W · 130 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed LYON64c743.54$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.6912639.7%50 W · 76 L-9.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed Sentinels50c724.58$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.563161.2%386 W · 245 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Sentinels28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003850%19 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed LYON77c710.83$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.431,24652.6%656 W · 590 L+4.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked LYON72c700$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19886649.7%430 W · 436 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d05…6f11backed Sentinels29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010044%44 W · 56 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9c5…6394backed LYON12c688.46$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.469025.6%23 W · 67 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed LYON61c633.64$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.0456650%283 W · 283 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed LYON66c619.99$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.866445.6%303 W · 361 L+14.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0640…1cd6backed Sentinels28c614.43$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.0414935.6%53 W · 96 L-12.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6f06…9af4backed LYON73c597.83$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.45162.7%32 W · 19 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67e7…705bbacked LYON74c595.3$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.784070%28 W · 12 L+5.4wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7596…9773backed Sentinels56c559.85$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3162454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked LYON76c525.59$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.591,18948.1%572 W · 617 L-2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed Sentinels28c521.84$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14622349.3%110 W · 113 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9135…a63ebacked Sentinels25c510$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.77919%15 W · 64 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-58.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x167f…fa5ebacked Sentinels30c508.88$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.784553.3%24 W · 21 L+11.4wins+0.25per pick28cpaid+89.3%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed LYON74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13075738.6%292 W · 465 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed LYON60c499.59$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.8448553.4%259 W · 226 L-19.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fc2…64d1backed Sentinels29c488.87$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.778042.5%34 W · 46 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93f8…22babacked LYON46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.781250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x00a1…5062backed LYON73c411.05$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.0513557%77 W · 58 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd690…93a6backed LYON56c410.65$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.110160.4%61 W · 40 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x68ba…e3f3backed LYON66c405$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.56451.6%33 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39bb…9e51backed Sentinels30c400$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.8418149.2%89 W · 92 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked LYON72c361.51$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.841,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed Sentinels28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00f5…7b42backed Sentinels29c340$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004445.5%20 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d83…272cbacked LYON75c302.01$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.1359341.8%248 W · 345 L-16.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed LYON70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcad2…c9e4backed LYON74c278.15$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.3227248.9%133 W · 139 L-14.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad50…81a8backed LYON73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.976056.7%34 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x873d…97b5backed Sentinels19c252.46$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.128924.6%71 W · 218 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked LYON12c240$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.21,61148.4%780 W · 831 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked LYON73c232.86$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.8726448.5%128 W · 136 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x625a…7bb3backed LYON77c207.79$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7912548%60 W · 65 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x912e…0eaebacked LYON78c204.19$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2715930.8%49 W · 110 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26b1…c3ddbacked Sentinels29c199.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5814544.8%65 W · 80 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdab8…1bc7backed Sentinels25c199.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014936.9%55 W · 94 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd15e…db59backed Sentinels49c190.22$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5121747%102 W · 115 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd011…ac5dbacked Sentinels29c182.76$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5325648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Sentinels29c179.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.21,52550.6%771 W · 754 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dfe…d83fbacked Sentinels28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x65e0…e51dbacked Sentinels30c177.78$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5443138.1%164 W · 267 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed LYON75c175.9$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9757947.3%274 W · 305 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3a…a5a2backed Sentinels28c151.33$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.731637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-43.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a12…ba9cbacked Sentinels17c150$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.512128.1%34 W · 87 L-0.4wins0.00per pick28cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6c0…d689backed LYON53c149.63$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.633724.3%9 W · 28 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-36.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Sentinels30c149$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7243148%207 W · 224 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x686e…3415backed LYON60c145$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbafa…02e0backed Sentinels55c144.65$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8080750.8%410 W · 397 L+48.4wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x56a8…3639backed Sentinels69c144$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.261850%9 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde2a…6bfebacked Sentinels16c139.96$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3972234.1%246 W · 476 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb91…7db6backed Sentinels24c137.26$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5530348.8%148 W · 155 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked LYON51c137.23$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.0511450.9%58 W · 56 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.