Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: LY (-2.5) vs Sentinels (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd86baded3726e1c5e933d4d27e3da8609970e170b023b7ccc8bf5f2e66bfbbd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sentinelsof LYON, Sentinels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,627
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,627 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c56…3e41backed LYON | 0c | 21,369$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.62 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked LYON | 47c | 7,419$3,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,513.61 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Sentinels | 46c | 4,082$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,193.05 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Sentinels | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 440 | 47.5%209 W · 231 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c47…1189backed Sentinels | 50c | 894$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed LYON | 53c | 486.6$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…4ca4backed LYON | 53c | 424.53$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 150 | 62%93 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Sentinels | 50c | 360$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 242 | 35.5%86 W · 156 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7044…2eb6backed LYON | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 338 | 57.1%193 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed LYON | 38c | 265.16$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.52 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Sentinels | 50c | 204.98$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.49 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0106…0e63backed LYON | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 54.6%65 W · 54 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed LYON | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 420 | 55.2%232 W · 188 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4c…0fc9backed LYON | 48c | 91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7184…c793backed LYON | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked LYON | 37c | 71.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Sentinels | 50c | 57.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Sentinels | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 537 | 53.6%288 W · 249 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x062d…b42ebacked Sentinels | 29c | 53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +246.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Sentinels | 46c | 51.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…ae1dbacked Sentinels | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 257 | 64.2%165 W · 92 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Sentinels | 68c | 43.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Sentinels | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Sentinels | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea15…ba9ebacked LYON | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x637a…a27cbacked LYON | 50c | 29.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: LY (-2.5) vs Sentinels (+2.5)this page
- Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)LYON won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Sentinels vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Lock In PlayoffsLYON won
- LoL: Sentinels vs LYON - Game 1 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: Sentinels vs LYON - Game 2 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: Sentinels vs LYON - Game 3 WinnerSentinels won
- LoL: Sentinels vs LYON - Game 4 WinnerLYON won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.