TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Cloud9 vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIA Esportsof Cloud9, FURIA Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$146,592

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,592 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x43d4…13a2backed FURIA Esports23c8,684$1,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,686.047839.7%31 W · 47 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cloud936c5,904$2,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,109.72,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Cloud952c5,432$2,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,818.826144.1%115 W · 146 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed FURIA Esports70c5,173$3,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,533.41,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed FURIA Esports63c5,000$3,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,853.4350569.9%353 W · 152 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Cloud975c4,740$3,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,559.7339749.1%195 W · 202 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed FURIA Esports79c4,726$3,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.2148353.4%258 W · 225 L-19.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked FURIA Esports69c4,123$2,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.531,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked FURIA Esports22c4,033$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,144.8266437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Cloud939c3,897$1,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,531.851,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Cloud978c3,821$2,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,980.1655955.8%312 W · 247 L+50.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9560…9467backed FURIA Esports71c3,586$2,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.1420454.9%112 W · 92 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Cloud928c3,200$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9101,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked FURIA Esports25c3,168$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,37631328.8%90 W · 223 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa7ea…bbb3backed Cloud940c2,989$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203.946328.6%18 W · 45 L-11.1wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-48.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5e38…de0fbacked Cloud937c2,949$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.596149.2%30 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Cloud929c2,205$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.571,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Cloud978c2,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56049940.7%203 W · 296 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x88b9…0fc9backed FURIA Esports34c1,807$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.534837.4%130 W · 218 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked FURIA Esports23c1,624$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.722,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Cloud928c1,371$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.4153640.3%216 W · 320 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Cloud926c1,325$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.871,07926%281 W · 798 L-99.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-46.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Cloud935c1,157$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.851,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Cloud960c1,096$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.771,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c14…7bc1backed FURIA Esports72c1,071$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.913464.7%22 W · 12 L+5.8wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+34.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed FURIA Esports55c1,000$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.663161.2%386 W · 245 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed FURIA Esports25c1,000$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7501,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc5…1135backed Cloud930c999$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.744042%185 W · 255 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Cloud929c977.9$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.813,11933.7%1,052 W · 2,067 L-151.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed Cloud911c898$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7828827.4%79 W · 209 L-30.6wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked FURIA Esports26c862.35$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.1417537.1%65 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked FURIA Esports23c800$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.595951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Cloud933c751.42$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.141,72629.4%507 W · 1,219 L-124.5wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Cloud929c718.51$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.752,67235.7%954 W · 1,718 L-153.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked FURIA Esports32c705.95$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.941,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdab8…1bc7backed Cloud957c705$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.714936.9%55 W · 94 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Cloud936c697.35$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.072,90338.5%1,119 W · 1,784 L-117.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Cloud935c630.53$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.269756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf33c…4c38backed FURIA Esports50c605.09$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.3824065%156 W · 84 L+24.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed FURIA Esports38c526.97$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.3885652.2%447 W · 409 L+34.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5085…9bbcbacked Cloud942c503.38$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.382347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Cloud96c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020550.2%103 W · 102 L+15.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Cloud975c495.04$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.9999338.6%383 W · 610 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x207f…019dbacked FURIA Esports33c470.35$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.171154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick32cpaid+72%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Cloud928c454.7$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.3622336.8%82 W · 141 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7767…4fb2backed FURIA Esports70c416.06$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.014062.5%25 W · 15 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd7f5…40d7backed Cloud930c400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120120%0 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed Cloud957c351.25$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.151,24152.7%654 W · 587 L+5.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb91…7db6backed Cloud96c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030348.8%148 W · 155 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1173…1d74backed Cloud96c309.04$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1733040.3%133 W · 197 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb734…fc38backed Cloud976c301.32$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2297568%51 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5b7…3e1cbacked FURIA Esports33c299.47$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.4734651.2%177 W · 169 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f43…843abacked Cloud937c260$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.24930.6%15 W · 34 L-7.9wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-43.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdede…92d0backed FURIA Esports79c256.11$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.781369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Cloud975c243.64$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.991,66059.5%987 W · 673 L+97.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Cloud931c243$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.0437345%168 W · 205 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde2a…6bfebacked FURIA Esports67c239.97$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.9972234.1%246 W · 476 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Cloud963c236.51$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1492,82041.4%1,167 W · 1,653 L-14.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Cloud969c228.42$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.791,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Cloud974c220$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.826354%142 W · 121 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x294a…42d7backed Cloud910c211.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3333…3c23backed FURIA Esports24c208.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.3328042.5%119 W · 161 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Cloud931c204$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5545344.6%202 W · 251 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3871…741ebacked Cloud910c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203959%23 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed FURIA Esports63c200$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7574462.2%463 W · 281 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d75…cf0bbacked Cloud97c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141766.3%11 W · 165 L-0.5wins0.00per pick7cpaid-46.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Cloud926c192.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2410638.7%41 W · 65 L-10.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-29.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd371…7ea5backed Cloud980c187.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502556%14 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FURIA Esports25c181$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.751,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc76…46bfbacked Cloud926c180.08$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8240%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe26b…a9ecbacked Cloud922c167.62$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0452049.2%256 W · 264 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cloud937c166.73$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.62,33640.4%943 W · 1,393 L-58.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7712…155abacked Cloud919c154$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.891947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe46a…f06abacked FURIA Esports33c150.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.956159%36 W · 25 L+7.8wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+34.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Cloud931c150$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3610844.4%48 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed FURIA Esports22c148.52$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.8544047.5%209 W · 231 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Cloud939c147$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0943947.6%209 W · 230 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Cloud940c131$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3211141.4%46 W · 65 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd4e…1483backed FURIA Esports40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7530155.5%167 W · 134 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Cloud916c123.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021350.2%107 W · 106 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb003…d962backed Cloud910c113.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3579151.8%410 W · 381 L+15.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb24f…c638backed Cloud939c110.75$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0320051.5%103 W · 97 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x65e0…e51dbacked Cloud934c107.06$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3643138.1%164 W · 267 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked FURIA Esports23c104.35$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.3530632%98 W · 208 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf006…bf1ebacked Cloud977c103.64$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9569247%325 W · 367 L+1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked FURIA Esports75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.521,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed FURIA Esports25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7541544.6%185 W · 230 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b05…25dfbacked Cloud974c100$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7420245%91 W · 111 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03c4…6f4ebacked Cloud972c97.44$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7024453.3%130 W · 114 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a94…e3e5backed Cloud916c93.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed FURIA Esports59c93.27$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.271,18352%615 W · 568 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf544…4f8cbacked Cloud978c89.8$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0410850.9%55 W · 53 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3938…c6cbbacked Cloud976c86.84$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6621059%124 W · 86 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ed5…8165backed FURIA Esports49c85.71$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7134844.8%156 W · 192 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df2…d357backed Cloud974c81.78$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5240959.2%242 W · 167 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked FURIA Esports25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6020051%102 W · 98 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ef5…671fbacked FURIA Esports71c72.94$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1513467.2%90 W · 44 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x72bc…b24ebacked Cloud975c68$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cf4…b11abacked FURIA Esports66c65.97$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.735858.6%34 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f83…d411backed Cloud941c65$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.511669.8%81 W · 35 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.