Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e789da33f4075400998cdda4610441af02ab9e94045a46265d7254824bf634d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIA Esportsof Cloud9, FURIA Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,404
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56b4…c4adbacked Cloud9 | 63c | 2,206$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.18 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed FURIA Esports | 37c | 1,250$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.5 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed FURIA Esports | 43c | 1,127$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.52 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf98c…bf06backed FURIA Esports | 38c | 689.47$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Cloud9 | 56c | 624$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.44 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked FURIA Esports | 44c | 567.86$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 223 | 36.8%82 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Cloud9 | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FURIA Esports | 40c | 374$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.82 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Cloud9 | 58c | 349.98$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.29 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked FURIA Esports | 41c | 250.31$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.63 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25a4…2694backed Cloud9 | 67c | 221.31$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.74 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked FURIA Esports | 33c | 219.78$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.25 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Cloud9 | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked FURIA Esports | 40c | 187.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 756 | 30%227 W · 529 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Cloud9 | 60c | 187.5$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed Cloud9 | 56c | 145$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…6f4ebacked Cloud9 | 67c | 141.86$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 244 | 53.3%130 W · 114 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd5…8f67backed Cloud9 | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed FURIA Esports | 32c | 105.13$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.49 | 440 | 47.5%209 W · 231 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked FURIA Esports | 30c | 94.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 288 | 37.5%108 W · 180 L | -16.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked FURIA Esports | 41c | 83.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.53 | 373 | 42.9%160 W · 213 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Cloud9 | 63c | 69.92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.33 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Cloud9 | 50c | 57.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeaa…e2d0backed Cloud9 | 66c | 45.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed FURIA Esports | 54c | 31.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked FURIA Esports | 47c | 30.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…0abbbacked Cloud9 | 57c | 23.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - Americas Cup PlayoffsFURIA Esports won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 WinnerFURIA Esports won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 WinnerFURIA Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.