TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Dubai Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Otto Virtanen

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Virtanenof Struff, Virtanen
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$129,736
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$135,858

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,736 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x151b…3fb7backed Struff62c7,238$4,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,491.58475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+74.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb84a…055dbacked Struff50c6,161$3,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,092.222944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Virtanen56c5,353$2,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,364.62,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Virtanen37c5,128$1,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,231.367,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Struff61c4,240$2,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,573.22,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfab…2b1bbacked Struff61c4,222$2,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,564.34450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2073…385bbacked Virtanen39c3,990$1,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,420.48042.5%34 W · 46 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Virtanen39c3,899$1,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,378.3948552.8%256 W · 229 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Virtanen42c2,842$1,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,646.7581349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Struff48c2,667$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.528,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Struff52c2,601$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.431,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Struff56c2,143$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.6797046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe27…f284backed Struff45c2,122$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Virtanen39c1,932$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188.174,08239.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L+93.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e1e…b911backed Virtanen61c1,698$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.225354.7%29 W · 24 L-6.6wins-0.12per pick67cpaid-20.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Struff56c1,696$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.561,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x223f…5e6abacked Struff59c1,542$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.75425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-45.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4da9…0bd7backed Virtanen40c1,500$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Virtanen44c1,444$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.612,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Virtanen55c1,224$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.2847057.2%269 W · 201 L+16.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Virtanen42c1,200$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.991,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Virtanen52c1,151$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.019040%36 W · 54 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Virtanen43c1,016$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.83,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Virtanen41c1,003$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.531,12350.3%565 W · 558 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cf4…ed22backed Virtanen38c1,000$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62018447.3%87 W · 97 L+16.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+26.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked Struff53c987.76$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.3424060.8%146 W · 94 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Struff47c972$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.7269249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Virtanen42c849.31$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.5611,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Struff28c814.74$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.52,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Struff49c793.02$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.134,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Virtanen32c768.91$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.8668026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Virtanen39c705$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.0578452.9%415 W · 369 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Virtanen49c699.02$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.292,15054.1%1,164 W · 986 L-1.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Virtanen31c645.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.161,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a53…505abacked Virtanen50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Virtanen49c599.99$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.9931647.8%151 W · 165 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Struff55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,85348.4%897 W · 956 L-32.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Struff62c482.01$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29850364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Virtanen37c480.29$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.291,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7db0…f397backed Struff70c468$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.6313647.1%64 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Virtanen51c463.22$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.272,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Struff45c446.7$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.7338652.3%202 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Struff69c388$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.0756244.1%248 W · 314 L-21.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3568…c765backed Struff47c380$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.6837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-33.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Struff52c370.8$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.974562.2%28 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Struff57c346$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.5899255.9%555 W · 437 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Virtanen44c340.91$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.9129637.5%111 W · 185 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Struff60c335.02$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20052460.9%319 W · 205 L+0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Virtanen55c334.79$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.336,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Struff60c334.3$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20065959%389 W · 270 L-31.9wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Struff51c333.99$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.861,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x725d…e49abacked Virtanen50c306.52$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.515048%24 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Struff48c300$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14318936%68 W · 121 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Virtanen41c295$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.8138133.9%129 W · 252 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1605…124fbacked Struff51c292.59$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501250%6 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x500c…883cbacked Struff57c290.49$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16514860.1%89 W · 59 L+8.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x31c8…f2d8backed Virtanen50c261.88$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.947632.9%25 W · 51 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Virtanen38c252.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.971,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Struff21c246.01$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5362952.1%328 W · 301 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cc9…f0b3backed Virtanen41c244.11$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.1115117.9%27 W · 124 L-9.8wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-42.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe7b2…6127backed Virtanen41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Virtanen41c238.99$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.111,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Virtanen42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.157349.6%284 W · 289 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x795f…fbdabacked Struff50c231.38$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.6911417.5%20 W · 94 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-25.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Struff42c227.69$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6429533.6%99 W · 196 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Struff46c218.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10054547.9%261 W · 284 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Virtanen41c218$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.6232246.9%151 W · 171 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Virtanen34c214.94$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.384,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0b4…150ebacked Virtanen60c206.03$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.4114947%70 W · 79 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Struff58c205.5$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Struff52c201$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.894,47451.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L+133.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24be…8d08backed Struff46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Struff65c200$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12958753.7%315 W · 272 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Virtanen49c198.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.982,33946.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L+55.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Struff49c194$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.11,02933.5%345 W · 684 L-3.7wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Struff58c171.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10073350.9%373 W · 360 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…8276backed Virtanen41c163.46$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.4424350.2%122 W · 121 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ae…adf0backed Struff50c161.2$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Struff43c153.74$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.32,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Struff50c150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.41,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Struff47c148.45$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7742358.6%248 W · 175 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Struff67c148.06$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.275748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f7b…20bbbacked Virtanen41c143.1$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.435345.3%24 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Virtanen43c140.67$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.6719052.6%100 W · 90 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x388b…25ddbacked Struff50c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704245.2%19 W · 23 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0f88…293bbacked Struff44c138.27$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.671040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Struff53c132.79$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7124563.3%155 W · 90 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Virtanen42c130.37$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.0724529.8%73 W · 172 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c82…dca9backed Struff23c129.3$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.32837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-42.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Virtanen47c125.62$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.5843242.4%183 W · 249 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe9e…7505backed Struff68c124.81$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.0213052.3%68 W · 62 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Virtanen53c120.28$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1335559.4%211 W · 144 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Struff42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5084736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcaf…6405backed Virtanen44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.645156.9%29 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64f8…8cadbacked Virtanen47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.383842.1%16 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5672…d3dabacked Virtanen39c102.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.564643.5%20 W · 26 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c2f…499cbacked Virtanen60c101.09$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4410345.6%47 W · 56 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Struff60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6077967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Virtanen42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5864637.2%240 W · 406 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9edc…b088backed Virtanen38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6228424.3%69 W · 215 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.