Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Chattanooga Mocs vs. Mercer Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe03150e1e0a772cff1175ff51930d7aa81feedb69c45698acdccb1658c1ef7cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chattanooga Mocsof Chattanooga Mocs, Mercer Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,320
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mercer Bears | 33c | 6,024$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971.56 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Mercer Bears | 31c | 5,966$1,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820.8 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Chattanooga Mocs | 49c | 4,819$2,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,474.13 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Chattanooga Mocs | 17c | 2,501$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,068.76 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Chattanooga Mocs | 38c | 2,029$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.18 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Chattanooga Mocs | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.99 | 85 | 17.6%15 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mercer Bears | 47c | 1,300$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.55 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Chattanooga Mocs | 17c | 1,273$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.3 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Chattanooga Mocs | 51c | 1,120$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.58 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Mercer Bears | 58c | 1,008$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.51 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Chattanooga Mocs | 18c | 961$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.9 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chattanooga Mocs | 47c | 925$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.14 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Chattanooga Mocs | 25c | 586.17$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.23 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Chattanooga Mocs | 16c | 547$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.19 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…7c3abacked Mercer Bears | 65c | 530.66$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Mercer Bears | 60c | 511.21$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.39 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Mercer Bears | 39c | 473.83$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.18 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca6b…9c23backed Chattanooga Mocs | 16c | 468.75$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.75 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Chattanooga Mocs | 35c | 404.81$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.88 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Chattanooga Mocs | 16c | 389.13$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.87 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Chattanooga Mocs | 31c | 378.98$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.15 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Chattanooga Mocs | 28c | 372$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.5 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Chattanooga Mocs | 64c | 367$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.14 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chattanooga Mocs | 16c | 337$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.08 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…6646backed Mercer Bears | 34c | 322$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.06 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Chattanooga Mocs | 17c | 300$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.84 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Chattanooga Mocs | 39c | 249.06$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.06 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d0…6fc8backed Chattanooga Mocs | 48c | 206.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.53 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Mercer Bears | 47c | 200.02$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.01 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Chattanooga Mocs | 19c | 200$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Mercer Bears | 80c | 199.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe320…e0c5backed Mercer Bears | 74c | 189.96$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.57 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebd1…1e86backed Chattanooga Mocs | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.67 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Chattanooga Mocs | 51c | 162.7$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.35 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mercer Bears | 55c | 161.37$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Chattanooga Mocs | 18c | 148.74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.97 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mercer Bears | 45c | 140$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.68 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Chattanooga Mocs | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Chattanooga Mocs | 22c | 117.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.52 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Chattanooga Mocs | 23c | 114$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.55 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Chattanooga Mocs | 29c | 112$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.52 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Mercer Bears | 51c | 111.76$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6a…fe50backed Chattanooga Mocs | 44c | 107.19$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Chattanooga Mocs | 34c | 100.41$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.94 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Chattanooga Mocs | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Chattanooga Mocs | 17c | 85.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.58 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Mercer Bears | 48c | 84.3$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d18…4b0abacked Mercer Bears | 78c | 80$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Chattanooga Mocs | 18c | 74.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Chattanooga Mocs | 16c | 68.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 176 | 27.8%49 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Mercer Bears | 72c | 66.7$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Chattanooga Mocs | 35c | 62.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Chattanooga Mocs | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 273 | 58.6%160 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Chattanooga Mocs | 55c | 57.64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…5b77backed Chattanooga Mocs | 29c | 56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Chattanooga Mocs | 18c | 55.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c00…741dbacked Chattanooga Mocs | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4336…28a7backed Mercer Bears | 68c | 33.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Chattanooga Mocs | 45c | 30.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c24…e918backed Chattanooga Mocs | 45c | 29.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb9…6c85backed Mercer Bears | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf55c…a6abbacked Mercer Bears | 68c | 19.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 141 | 71.6%101 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3898…4b07backed Mercer Bears | 57c | 17.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…b054backed Mercer Bears | 71c | 16.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 135 | 65.9%89 W · 46 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Mercer Bears | 78c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chattanooga Mocs vs. Mercer Bearsthis page
- Chattanooga Mocs vs. Mercer Bears: O/U 151.5Over won
- Chattanooga Mocs vs. Mercer Bears: O/U 152.5Over won
- Spread: Mercer Bears (-10.5)Chattanooga Mocs won
- Spread: Mercer Bears (-9.5)Chattanooga Mocs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.