La Liga · resolved market
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9e9bded5140d1dbbb5d87cd358c608d5cf1924b594bbf6d324f0823d887a519
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8566…c626backed Over | 43c | 69,686$29,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,720.74 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 49,733$27,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,151.52 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 57c | 14,502$8,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,265.99 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Under | 61c | 5,544$3,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,367.52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 73cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Under | 72c | 4,463$3,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,220 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Under | 57c | 2,800$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 6c | 1,047$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.72 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Under | 62c | 808$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.96 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 674.68$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.77 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 65c | 599.99$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 38c | 539.75$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.55 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Over | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0708…3b30backed Under | 62c | 383.26$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 62c | 379.03$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed Under | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Under | 75c | 313$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.75 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 38c | 303.92$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.43 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Under | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Under | 5c | 299.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 64 | 12.5%8 W · 56 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b90…c258backed Under | 58c | 290$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.2 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Over | 44c | 285.04$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.62 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +66%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 55c | 255.56$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.02 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 58c | 216.79$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.56 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…5dcebacked Under | 45c | 205.32$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 43c | 179$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.28 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 44c | 135.05$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.07 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 65c | 120$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 42c | 108.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.83 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed Over | 15c | 99.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.83 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 15c | 89.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.33 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Over | 22c | 86.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.83 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…2e72backed Over | 14c | 80$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 75c | 65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Over | 42c | 63.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 37c | 61.72$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 59c | 56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 57c | 54.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x386b…6d36backed Over | 39c | 51.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0247…bb07backed Under | 61c | 44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 73cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 50c | 42.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Over | 44c | 39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 47c | 35.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x957c…2965backed Over | 44c | 35.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c7…ffd7backed Under | 59c | 33.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 60c | 33.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 32c | 32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 192 | 47.4%91 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 41c | 31.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 43c | 31.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4d…b339backed Over | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…98edbacked Over | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 45c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…f041backed Under | 80c | 27.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…ce8abacked Under | 66c | 25.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d4…651cbacked Over | 45c | 24.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Under | 59c | 23.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1213…5ed6backed Under | 57c | 23.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5589…07edbacked Under | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb9…6c85backed Under | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cae…db7fbacked Under | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc96…e37cbacked Under | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…8ff4backed Under | 57c | 18.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 4.5this page
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.