La Liga · resolved market
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeabc2302f6ac68d92638dccbe1a236e442c57883858f90513ee0779261d018b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,624
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 23c | 10,081$2,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,322.3 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Over | 78c | 4,209$3,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.54 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66e1…0f14backed Under | 25c | 1,791$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x548c…9d1fbacked Under | 25c | 1,763$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 78c | 759.28$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.04 | 128 | 75%96 W · 32 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 132 | 63.6%84 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Under | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 5c | 492.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 23c | 465.13$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.88 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 22c | 355.34$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.89 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 23c | 330$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 25c | 317.23$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.15 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25cd…2ec1backed Under | 26c | 302.64$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Over | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Over | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 25c | 200.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 25c | 138.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 129 | 25.6%33 W · 96 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e98…ee81backed Over | 75c | 133.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…b7e9backed Under | 23c | 86.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 78c | 85.9$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 21c | 83.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 23c | 83.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 22c | 67.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 174 | 55.2%96 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c5…4d7abacked Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f88…293bbacked Under | 26c | 63.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 22c | 61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 74c | 60.17$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 24c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05bb…1879backed Over | 76c | 51.74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 26c | 50.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0247…bb07backed Over | 79c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 73cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 45 | 80%36 W · 9 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +27%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 24c | 49.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Over | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…a082backed Over | 76c | 30.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Over | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Over | 73c | 19.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Over | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Over | 74c | 15.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 76cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccc5…ada3backed Over | 77c | 14.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5this page
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.