La Liga · resolved market
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa90e4488527d0f6646b45f09dc807d00adc1c72f7e54abe02a3c0d508eaabf30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,455
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,455 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 70c | 2,510$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.5 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 30c | 2,272$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.6 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 71c | 1,533$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.76 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.97 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 31c | 1,160$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.39 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e5…1cb4backed Over | 73c | 767.24$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.24 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 78c | 764.59$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.21 | 128 | 75%96 W · 32 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a1…4dbdbacked Under | 69c | 600$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe55d…2335backed Over | 31c | 599.67$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 36c | 570.05$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.53 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Over | 50c | 550$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.43 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 30c | 508.71$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.1 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 52c | 384.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 32c | 312.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.48 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Over | 28c | 285.71$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.71 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 49c | 255.1$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.1 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 31c | 225.71$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 31c | 217$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.73 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 73c | 200$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed Over | 31c | 182.97$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 22c | 176.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 26c | 176.3$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 31c | 152.58$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.28 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…5dcebacked Over | 75c | 142.99$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 40c | 129.64$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.01 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 24c | 110.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…4488backed Under | 70c | 107.14$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 30c | 102.14$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 74c | 101.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…c2dbbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa65…3213backed Under | 72c | 85$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ef…8e6fbacked Over | 35c | 84.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.52 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Under | 73c | 82.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 73c | 68.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 55.2%96 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a64…887fbacked Under | 45c | 64.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…630cbacked Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 55c | 53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d43…cecdbacked Over | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 27c | 46.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d4…994cbacked Over | 31c | 45.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 46c | 42.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc88c…f67dbacked Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…29c5backed Over | 50c | 40.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…d938backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 31c | 39.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…ce8abacked Over | 49c | 39.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5730…891ebacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 48c | 27.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 52c | 27.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 72c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 192 | 47.4%91 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked Under | 61c | 19.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 77c | 17.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 192 | 58.9%113 W · 79 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 71c | 16.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d4…651cbacked Over | 74c | 13.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5this page
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.