CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs MANA eSports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d1f48197155e5a783b08f7c7e1ff67e55305723d1ae69141ec2fab70e5d7cc9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MANA eSportsof Leo Team, MANA eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $156,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,387 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf6b…a179backed Leo Team | 0c | 44,293$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…eab4backed Leo Team | 2c | 12,330$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Leo Team | 58c | 4,859$2,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,807.48 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed MANA eSports | 40c | 2,488$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.6 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Leo Team | 43c | 2,256$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.95 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Leo Team | 59c | 2,019$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.23 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21af…f272backed MANA eSports | 75c | 1,962$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Leo Team | 58c | 1,900$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.86 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed MANA eSports | 42c | 1,850$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Leo Team | 61c | 1,446$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.05 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Leo Team | 28c | 1,395$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.1 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Leo Team | 1c | 1,300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 103 | 0%0 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed MANA eSports | 52c | 1,200$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.34 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed MANA eSports | 42c | 1,148$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.49 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed Leo Team | 5c | 1,021$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Leo Team | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…db18backed MANA eSports | 57c | 833.14$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.88 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Leo Team | 18c | 805.8$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.29 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Leo Team | 56c | 753.85$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.16 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Leo Team | 58c | 689.05$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.87 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MANA eSports | 40c | 643.61$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.3 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…7307backed MANA eSports | 65c | 593.72$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.65 | 132 | 67.4%89 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Leo Team | 49c | 579.43$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.07 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5e…58efbacked MANA eSports | 44c | 543$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.19 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed MANA eSports | 41c | 523$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.57 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed MANA eSports | 52c | 516.99$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.26 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked MANA eSports | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Leo Team | 36c | 484.93$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.74 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MANA eSports | 42c | 454.78$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.58 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc332…59a9backed Leo Team | 64c | 426.45$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.26 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 68cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Leo Team | 53c | 422.54$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.39 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2b…2de7backed Leo Team | 48c | 420$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…0efcbacked MANA eSports | 51c | 420$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.8 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Leo Team | 12c | 410.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 233 | 33%77 W · 156 L | -22.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked MANA eSports | 44c | 399.63$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.79 | 90 | 27.8%25 W · 65 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked Leo Team | 15c | 370.37$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.56 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed MANA eSports | 51c | 365.57$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.53 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Leo Team | 49c | 363.76$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.17 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked MANA eSports | 44c | 359.28$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.74 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed MANA eSports | 41c | 359$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.81 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Leo Team | 29c | 358.56$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Leo Team | 60c | 350.57$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.66 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…0133backed MANA eSports | 41c | 338.24$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.24 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Leo Team | 5c | 329.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf370…4f88backed MANA eSports | 40c | 325.84$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.5 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed MANA eSports | 42c | 323.81$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.81 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Leo Team | 65c | 307.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 274 | 52.9%145 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Leo Team | 35c | 307.66$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.68 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked MANA eSports | 41c | 306.58$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.6 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac5…154cbacked MANA eSports | 70c | 300.14$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.98 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed MANA eSports | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed Leo Team | 48c | 299.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.82 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…d22bbacked Leo Team | 65c | 299.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.99 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0e…13aabacked Leo Team | 38c | 298.06$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.26 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -19.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a4…ebccbacked Leo Team | 15c | 290.76$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.61 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7612…b680backed MANA eSports | 42c | 275$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +81%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed MANA eSports | 42c | 273.81$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.81 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Leo Team | 60c | 267.73$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeba…9ff9backed Leo Team | 47c | 237$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.39 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed MANA eSports | 43c | 234.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.38 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked MANA eSports | 39c | 230$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.3 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…aa0bbacked Leo Team | 64c | 216.77$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.73 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Leo Team | 19c | 207.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Leo Team | 34c | 204.39$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.32 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Leo Team | 13c | 200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x917d…9429backed Leo Team | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked MANA eSports | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.99 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed MANA eSports | 44c | 195.47$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.38 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed Leo Team | 11c | 193.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x354f…95f8backed MANA eSports | 51c | 192.92$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.92 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…3d9dbacked Leo Team | 34c | 183.68$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.45 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x603a…b591backed MANA eSports | 44c | 177.16$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.89 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe05d…b812backed Leo Team | 57c | 174.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Leo Team | 58c | 173.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…e44ebacked Leo Team | 61c | 164.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 39.6%59 W · 90 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce2…4b11backed Leo Team | 28c | 160$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Leo Team | 38c | 151.52$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.47 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Leo Team | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…8973backed MANA eSports | 65c | 147.06$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.77 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac1…3afebacked Leo Team | 55c | 144.25$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed MANA eSports | 35c | 142.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.84 | 153 | 58.2%89 W · 64 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…351fbacked MANA eSports | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed MANA eSports | 42c | 127.47$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.93 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed MANA eSports | 40c | 124.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.94 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed MANA eSports | 40c | 124.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.18 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Leo Team | 41c | 119$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Leo Team | 58c | 117.05$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.89 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbf…4a8fbacked MANA eSports | 77c | 116.9$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…2368backed Leo Team | 42c | 110.55$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.03 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53fc…76d7backed MANA eSports | 42c | 109$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.44 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked MANA eSports | 40c | 108.72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.54 | 190 | 30.5%58 W · 132 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Leo Team | 40c | 108.24$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.72 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Leo Team | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Leo Team | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Leo Team | 56c | 102.27$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.27 | 402 | 47.8%192 W · 210 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed MANA eSports | 35c | 101.27$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.66 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2b…7fc1backed Leo Team | 50c | 101$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked MANA eSports | 59c | 100.62$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.23 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Leo Team | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked MANA eSports | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 246 | 33.3%82 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs MANA eSports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs MANA eSports - Map 1 WinnerMANA eSports won
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs MANA eSports - Map 2 WinnerLeo Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.