Tennis · resolved market
Chile Open, Qualification: Facundo Mena vs Daniel Galan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x248072f8ee73eb4283b33d7aead6eac544bef17add8596d9b94bd449679249e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galanof Mena, Galan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,381
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,381 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Galan | 60c | 7,504$4,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,965.57 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Mena | 17c | 5,999$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.59 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mena | 29c | 3,213$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.02 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Galan | 71c | 2,178$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.69 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mena | 19c | 1,700$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.38 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Galan | 61c | 1,630$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.33 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Galan | 65c | 956.52$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.46 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Mena | 39c | 886.24$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.33 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Mena | 37c | 691.32$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.39 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mena | 37c | 591.2$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.74 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Mena | 41c | 559.78$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.51 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Galan | 78c | 530.32$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed Galan | 74c | 444$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.64 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Mena | 13c | 382$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.56 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Mena | 39c | 346.15$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Mena | 39c | 332.87$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.82 | 347 | 45.2%157 W · 190 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Galan | 60c | 332.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.66 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3b…4afdbacked Galan | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Mena | 28c | 309.67$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.93 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Mena | 18c | 277.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Mena | 15c | 272.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Mena | 39c | 267.24$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.68 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Mena | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…99bcbacked Galan | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 240 | 60.8%146 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f27…71f1backed Mena | 8c | 171.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Mena | 39c | 150.69$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Galan | 61c | 149$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.62 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Mena | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Mena | 23c | 131$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 262 | 27.9%73 W · 189 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mena | 40c | 120.42$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Galan | 60c | 114$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Mena | 43c | 110$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb826…773cbacked Mena | 37c | 102.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Mena | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Galan | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Mena | 38c | 90.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Galan | 73c | 60.27$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0d…3f2ebacked Galan | 64c | 58.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Mena | 38c | 51.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Galan | 56c | 51.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…8f7abacked Galan | 65c | 43.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…e2a2backed Galan | 55c | 42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mena | 40c | 40.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Galan | 75c | 39.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Galan | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed Galan | 62c | 38.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Mena | 45c | 31.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7962…085dbacked Galan | 61c | 25.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe519…4cbebacked Galan | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb9…6c85backed Galan | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Galan | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.