TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x76f1…8f7a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST3145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$19.92
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$34.63
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$27.83
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$32.95
Grizzlies vs. Heatbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$26.8
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+100%+$25.05
Jazz vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+28.2%+$6.77
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12.32
Timberwolves vs. Raptorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+92.3%+$14.83
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20.98
Cavaliers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+177.8%+$21.33
Rockets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$25.3
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+38.9%+$16.33
Magic vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Nets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+203%+$38.58
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Rockets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$17.8
Heat vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+88.7%+$13.82
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+122.2%+$25.67
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+53.8%+$19.45
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+112.8%+$15.79
Rangers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Blue Jackets vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12.16
Utah vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Utah vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+61.3%+$9.81
Sabres vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.42
Blackhawks vs. Hurricanesbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+244.8%+$39.17
Golden Knights vs. Bruinsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.1
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Wild vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+72.4%+$7.97
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Red Wings vs. Bruinsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$18.1
All 13 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: L Guide Gaming vs Arneb (BO3) - LJL Regular Seasonbacked Arneb · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
LoL: Onion Team vs Orbit Anonymo (BO5) - Rift Legends Playoffsbacked Onion Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$14
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+354.5%+$46.09
LoL: DRX Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$18
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+112.8%+$19.17
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$31.79
LoL: DRX vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+81.8%+$10.64
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$23
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$15.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.