Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs LiXO eSports (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fdcdfc7a1e9e241dd51623b31ca4a8348ec6352e996d441cf9fc66b2e3aabda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemiga Gamingof Nemiga Gaming, LiXO eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,299 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1dbf…8cf6backed LiXO eSports | 27c | 1,177$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed LiXO eSports | 28c | 667.75$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.43 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e5…df30backed Nemiga Gaming | 80c | 625.56$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.56 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked LiXO eSports | 22c | 441.82$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.15 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Nemiga Gaming | 77c | 399.43$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.57 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Nemiga Gaming | 76c | 392.27$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.27 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed LiXO eSports | 23c | 359.49$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.73 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f59…3a50backed Nemiga Gaming | 73c | 300.93$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.52 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed Nemiga Gaming | 73c | 273.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.21 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 76c | 273.01$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.73 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Nemiga Gaming | 75c | 237.24$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.44 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed LiXO eSports | 20c | 236.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked LiXO eSports | 26c | 204.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.16 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78d6…e790backed LiXO eSports | 26c | 182.34$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked LiXO eSports | 28c | 178.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb73…155fbacked LiXO eSports | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fde…9ab1backed Nemiga Gaming | 79c | 141.07$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed Nemiga Gaming | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 76c | 130.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.83 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked LiXO eSports | 25c | 111.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…d209backed Nemiga Gaming | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…6d99backed Nemiga Gaming | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb2…0b31backed LiXO eSports | 28c | 89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817c…fb78backed Nemiga Gaming | 74c | 85.64$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed LiXO eSports | 29c | 83.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked LiXO eSports | 25c | 77.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…434fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 76c | 70.06$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81fc…f616backed Nemiga Gaming | 76c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Nemiga Gaming | 77c | 58.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed Nemiga Gaming | 74c | 55.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Nemiga Gaming | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed LiXO eSports | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Nemiga Gaming | 78c | 42.51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed LiXO eSports | 26c | 42.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed LiXO eSports | 27c | 41.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63cf…aa18backed LiXO eSports | 26c | 41.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…ae1dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 74c | 40.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 74 | 71.6%53 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…d9e6backed Nemiga Gaming | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36e8…db37backed Nemiga Gaming | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 125 | 68%85 W · 40 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…cf78backed LiXO eSports | 28c | 39.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed LiXO eSports | 27c | 38.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Nemiga Gaming | 78c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 69c | 29.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nemiga Gaming | 72c | 29.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe10f…c59fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Nemiga Gaming | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 245 | 27.3%67 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…91ecbacked Nemiga Gaming | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked Nemiga Gaming | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Nemiga Gaming | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Nemiga Gaming | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 149 | 62.4%93 W · 56 L | +21.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb9…6c85backed Nemiga Gaming | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs LiXO eSports (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs LiXO eSports - Game 1 WinnerNemiga Gaming won
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs LiXO eSports - Game 2 WinnerNemiga Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.