TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Merida Open Akron, Qualification: Varvara Lepchenko vs Elina Avanesyan

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lepchenkoof Lepchenko, Avanesyan
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,835
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,263

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,835 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5aa9…febebacked Lepchenko58c4,069$2,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,701.261,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Avanesyan1c3,095$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2243749%214 W · 223 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Lepchenko49c3,083$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,557.428,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Avanesyan45c2,048$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.5411,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cfb…0628backed Lepchenko36c1,923$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.9930241.7%126 W · 176 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Lepchenko34c1,803$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.611,98046.2%915 W · 1,065 L-1.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20c1…df04backed Avanesyan28c1,786$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018439.1%72 W · 112 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Avanesyan51c1,726$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8761,12350.3%565 W · 558 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Lepchenko47c1,683$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.931647.8%151 W · 165 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc9…f0b3backed Avanesyan25c1,458$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.615117.9%27 W · 124 L-9.8wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-42.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Avanesyan63c1,381$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.992,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Avanesyan26c1,142$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30068026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Avanesyan46c988.64$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.181349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Lepchenko37c886.93$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.912,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb30a…7fc3backed Lepchenko74c814$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick76cpaid-55%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Avanesyan44c801.36$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.412,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53a5…fc83backed Lepchenko40c599.99$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3609041.1%37 W · 53 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Lepchenko41c524.27$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.6752133%172 W · 349 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Lepchenko42c478.4$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.499139.9%395 W · 596 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Lepchenko38c458.55$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.8524837.1%92 W · 156 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Lepchenko46c434.81$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.8137339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Avanesyan26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Avanesyan29c366.43$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.138845.5%40 W · 48 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Lepchenko45c357.8$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.7926545.3%120 W · 145 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Lepchenko60c340$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.196,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Lepchenko75c333.33$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3350364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5061…1b03backed Lepchenko43c325.94$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.789452.1%49 W · 45 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Avanesyan28c314.77$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.64,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Lepchenko47c293.9$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.521,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Avanesyan57c268$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.7651052%265 W · 245 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Avanesyan37c261.58$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0357252.3%299 W · 273 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Avanesyan73c253.99$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.8552037.7%196 W · 324 L-30.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Avanesyan28c220$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.670465.2%459 W · 245 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Avanesyan58c216.09$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.236,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Lepchenko27c205.74$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15012245.1%55 W · 67 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Avanesyan58c198.24$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11569350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Avanesyan56c195.17$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.332246.9%151 W · 171 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Lepchenko53c189.3$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.8688455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Avanesyan56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Avanesyan55c176$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.81,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f97…a9b3backed Avanesyan25c172$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4326227.9%73 W · 189 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Lepchenko55c172$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.763756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Avanesyan69c149.8$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.593048.8%454 W · 476 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Avanesyan57c124.83$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1516146.6%75 W · 86 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Lepchenko45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.111,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Lepchenko61c104.63$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.636,51254.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L+289.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xabbf…126cbacked Lepchenko50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5011050%55 W · 55 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Lepchenko23c100$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7746649.8%232 W · 234 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Lepchenko44c99.92$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.953,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Avanesyan70c96$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.24,65048.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Lepchenko68c90$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.11,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe324…9189backed Lepchenko52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9220664.1%132 W · 74 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Avanesyan50c76$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3899255.9%555 W · 437 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Avanesyan53c70$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.11,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Avanesyan45c68.89$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.082,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5904…940fbacked Avanesyan55c67.31$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3511465.8%75 W · 39 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Lepchenko44c67.04$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.541,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f88…293bbacked Avanesyan72c65.15$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.911040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x751b…90fbbacked Lepchenko79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2920758%120 W · 87 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Avanesyan48c59.92$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.763,88435%1,358 W · 2,526 L+92.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca3…483abacked Lepchenko23c59.43$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.768252.4%43 W · 39 L-8.0wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-17%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5344…630ebacked Lepchenko31c56.08$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.75738.6%22 W · 35 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Avanesyan48c51.74$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.612,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf01e…aed4backed Avanesyan56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288853.4%47 W · 41 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa6c…a67dbacked Lepchenko44c45.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.423438.2%13 W · 21 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Avanesyan56c44.48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515751%80 W · 77 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Lepchenko59c43$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.631,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Lepchenko75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1035559.4%211 W · 144 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Avanesyan54c38.7$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.978452.9%415 W · 369 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Lepchenko36c36.04$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2145147.2%213 W · 238 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Avanesyan56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2064358.8%378 W · 265 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59d0…a871backed Avanesyan56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017354.3%94 W · 79 L+12.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7daf…ee4dbacked Lepchenko70c35.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.711947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7a1…7758backed Avanesyan59c34.86$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.544671.7%33 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe0f6…a5eebacked Lepchenko71c33.47$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6259954.9%329 W · 270 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Avanesyan44c32.91$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.476,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x606a…3fabbacked Lepchenko32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+93.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Lepchenko44c30.2$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.914,08239.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L+93.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3873…dec8backed Avanesyan46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.816468.9%113 W · 51 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Avanesyan50c29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5553058.1%308 W · 222 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Avanesyan62c25.16$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5327546.5%128 W · 147 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Lepchenko48c25.15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.053,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Lepchenko63c24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8836839.1%144 W · 224 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Avanesyan44c23.47$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3310348.5%50 W · 53 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x320f…1420backed Lepchenko44c23$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8822258.1%129 W · 93 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52ca…54f0backed Lepchenko50c22.6$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.262560%15 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Lepchenko54c22.24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2243058.6%252 W · 178 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Avanesyan59c20.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.372,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bb9…6c85backed Avanesyan61c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.21250%6 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Avanesyan54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.877047.9%369 W · 401 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.