La Liga · resolved market
CA Osasuna vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad1d33a303febd18a2a46edfc97eb265073546fca6765c9e9afc7378d0552914
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,740
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 24c | 33,179$7,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,804.52 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Under | 10c | 6,401$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.66 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over | 79c | 5,334$4,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.8 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +29%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…821fbacked Over | 75c | 3,069$2,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 19c | 1,720$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.93 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 19c | 1,563$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.88 | 502 | 49.6%249 W · 253 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 19c | 1,500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Over | 71c | 1,321$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.4 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d55…7568backed Over | 80c | 1,240$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 80c | 1,236$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.11 | 128 | 75%96 W · 32 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Over | 67c | 745.52$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.02 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 55c | 573.74$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.25 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 79c | 525$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 18c | 416.17$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.31 | 1,497 | 38.6%578 W · 919 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 67c | 407.16$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.95 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 24c | 376.09$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -10.3wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 63c | 317.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.61 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 21c | 292.34$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.03 | 615 | 57.7%355 W · 260 L | +41.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 33c | 211.39$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.76 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8311…3ed4backed Under | 22c | 204.23$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…d4bfbacked Over | 80c | 200.85$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Over | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 63c | 188.52$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.24 | 192 | 58.9%113 W · 79 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b9…8714backed Over | 72c | 162.35$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.04 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6481…b1bfbacked Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 81 | 70.4%57 W · 24 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf343…fba6backed Over | 67c | 147.46$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.66 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 69c | 143.29$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.42 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…5dcebacked Over | 55c | 126$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.09 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd1…18c3backed Under | 32c | 125.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…4f06backed Over | 80c | 115.76$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 73c | 105.05$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 14c | 104.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 71c | 100.92$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…b7e9backed Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Under | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 95 | 71.6%68 W · 27 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb7…dd4bbacked Under | 31c | 98.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 20c | 97.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a68…22dfbacked Under | 26c | 96.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 20c | 95.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 19c | 92.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 18c | 88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 836 | 40%334 W · 502 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under | 13c | 87.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 75c | 79.84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 72c | 77.11$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 74c | 73.91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 1,651 | 43.9%724 W · 927 L | -21.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 67c | 70.15$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…0332backed Over | 77c | 68.95$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +67%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e2…0dcdbacked Under | 20c | 61.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…29c5backed Over | 70c | 56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 45 | 80%36 W · 9 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +27%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x95b5…3f5ebacked Over | 65c | 48.38$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 27c | 43.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Over | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6f…5a01backed Over | 74c | 26.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 71cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb9…6c85backed Over | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2823…eb3dbacked Over | 69c | 18.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +4.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…41f2backed Over | 68c | 17.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Osasuna vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Osasuna vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Osasuna vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Osasuna vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.