TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

CA Osasuna vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$151,638
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$191,260

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,638 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x916f…53babacked Under42c28,905$12,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,140.032969%20 W · 9 L+5.3wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+39.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c14,041$7,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,543.284,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2795…fd6bbacked Over49c7,200$3,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,672955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over55c4,256$2,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,927.5316149.7%80 W · 81 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over57c4,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,719.9915952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over58c3,469$2,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,456.832645.4%148 W · 178 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a0c…0beebacked Over39c3,036$1,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,842.624942.9%21 W · 28 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+88.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under50c3,030$1,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,521.973,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d62…7c61backed Over45c2,247$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+124.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over57c1,771$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.272,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…afa6backed Over54c1,672$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.294040%16 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Over30c1,668$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.593948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Over49c1,608$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.163050%15 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over48c1,567$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.4412650.8%64 W · 62 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed Under3c1,560$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.46412.5%8 W · 56 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+50.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over58c1,500$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.799052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over30c1,500$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.9923255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under45c1,494$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.631,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over55c1,489$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.856445.3%29 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over58c1,405$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.126550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Under50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60020843.3%90 W · 118 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Over42c1,185$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.37440.5%30 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+5.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x838a…add1backed Over55c1,183$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.552657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under52c1,158$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.951,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c1a…40b4backed Over26c1,100$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.992100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+192.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37c4…359ebacked Under3c933$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.983467.6%23 W · 11 L+9.0wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+113.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Over58c800$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33622746.7%106 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over60c700$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2806642.4%28 W · 38 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Over56c673.13$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.181225%3 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over58c626.94$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.3318650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under53c612.57$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.121,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over58c608$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.364663%29 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over58c603.45$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.459564.2%61 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over59c584.75$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.756750.7%34 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over65c548.13$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.4983939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Over55c544.03$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.036061.7%37 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe90…5bbbbacked Over58c532.76$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.76450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Over59c507.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.624742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under42c502.37$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21150449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21512954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Over77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.2111566.1%76 W · 39 L+13.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+36.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Over58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21013845.7%63 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under42c499.96$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9842851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over55c450.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.553161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Under33c443.22$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.1260147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over48c420.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.561758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Over49c409.99$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.11450%7 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde0b…df4cbacked Under49c393.51$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over54c367.27$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.6742158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over57c350.57$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.574146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d4c…a700backed Over58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Over54c336.98$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.012951.7%15 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xceb7…391ebacked Over79c334.63$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.274077.5%31 W · 9 L+7.2wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+43.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Over60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.331225%3 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-36.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over32c313.39$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.832934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17416745.5%76 W · 91 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Over55c299.99$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.99728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-53.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Over49c287.76$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.762548%12 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over37c269.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.092045%9 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over46c251.78$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.961442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over56c250$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1103354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe9e…7505backed Over62c234.1$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.521070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+36.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under58c228.15$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.865232.7%17 W · 35 L-10.3wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-51.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Over43c224.12$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.7517541.1%72 W · 103 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over38c219.25$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.9410634%36 W · 70 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over47c210.53$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.5322729.1%66 W · 161 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8aa…20f6backed Over48c209$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.68875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54e8…5e6bbacked Over55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902075%15 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Over57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866756.7%38 W · 29 L+9.8wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x68ff…997ebacked Over48c199.98$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.991637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…ef3abacked Over51c199.98$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.99862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+42.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x941f…acfabacked Over45c199.8$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.89825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-48.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3de…fe0ebacked Under42c198.07$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.191471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+31.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.194235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under45c184.67$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9261657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf830…c2dbbacked Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.571855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+28.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0082…e801backed Over43c174.42$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.424768.1%32 W · 15 L+5.4wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xcbaa…a58abacked Over58c173.93$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.051560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab9…1437backed Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.414134.1%14 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-41.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.415940.7%24 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Over58c172.4$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.416861.8%42 W · 26 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4dd3…7c5dbacked Over58c170.95$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.951681.3%13 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.25per pick56cpaid+44.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Over59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4911149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x34e4…e1e1backed Under63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over40c152.43$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.4634050%170 W · 170 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over54c150$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6922553.8%121 W · 104 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8622357%127 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over57c135$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0535148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc34…799dbacked Over38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.58785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+65.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over41c130.85$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.655152.9%27 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd11…79a5backed Under47c128$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.162437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-33.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over57c123.07$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9230446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4d0…91acbacked Under43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502045%9 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over56c107.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.4618152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under48c105.84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.41,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over58c103.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.457855.1%43 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x169b…6f9ebacked Over58c103.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.453100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+91.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x24be…8d08backed Under58c101.55$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.67450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4217648.3%85 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.