TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Stonehill Skyhawks vs. New Haven Chargers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
New Haven Chargersof Stonehill Skyhawks, New Haven Chargers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,719
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,917

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,719 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa38a…821dbacked New Haven Chargers66c3,479$2,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.649345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Stonehill Skyhawks32c2,451$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.765,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed New Haven Chargers68c1,634$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.33,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked New Haven Chargers59c1,343$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.61,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Stonehill Skyhawks29c1,081$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.041,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Stonehill Skyhawks27c786.44$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.814,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Stonehill Skyhawks39c725.22$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.341,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed New Haven Chargers57c646.99$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.351,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Stonehill Skyhawks41c599.99$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.9955749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Stonehill Skyhawks42c508.98$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.71,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Stonehill Skyhawks41c315.54$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.3774649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Stonehill Skyhawks25c303.39$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.853,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Stonehill Skyhawks44c299.63$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.562,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Stonehill Skyhawks41c293$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.1350745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked New Haven Chargers58c271.98$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.7787047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Stonehill Skyhawks42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Stonehill Skyhawks45c200$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed New Haven Chargers77c170.47$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3393247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe320…e0c5backed New Haven Chargers78c140$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.89845.9%45 W · 53 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Stonehill Skyhawks41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030853.2%164 W · 144 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New Haven Chargers71c121.52$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.031,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Stonehill Skyhawks42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5083350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked New Haven Chargers65c110.98$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.281,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…3400backed Stonehill Skyhawks46c108.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked New Haven Chargers71c96$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6839742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Stonehill Skyhawks28c88.34$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8770936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked New Haven Chargers58c82.63$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.74,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Stonehill Skyhawks27c75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1733445.5%152 W · 182 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Stonehill Skyhawks40c73.58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.432,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e40…cf85backed Stonehill Skyhawks42c71.42$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021937.4%82 W · 137 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Stonehill Skyhawks14c70.97$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2171655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a26…7189backed Stonehill Skyhawks24c67.91$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.582222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Stonehill Skyhawks30c62.88$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.991,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed New Haven Chargers59c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.664658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed New Haven Chargers56c53.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.691,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed New Haven Chargers74c52$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.521,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Stonehill Skyhawks27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.552353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed New Haven Chargers58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ac…1afdbacked New Haven Chargers66c40.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.926861.8%42 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5904…940fbacked New Haven Chargers59c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.355263.5%33 W · 19 L-0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Stonehill Skyhawks42c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.861244.9%275 W · 337 L+1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Stonehill Skyhawks42c37.95$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9416140.4%65 W · 96 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed New Haven Chargers56c35.88$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7399045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked New Haven Chargers59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.935646.6%166 W · 190 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked New Haven Chargers55c30.91$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9122656.2%127 W · 99 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc208…e74fbacked Stonehill Skyhawks33c30.33$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.012240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Stonehill Skyhawks41c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.312748.8%62 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x586d…fb12backed Stonehill Skyhawks36c29.81$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6418557.8%107 W · 78 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked New Haven Chargers57c29.38$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6311252.7%59 W · 53 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95dc…4b45backed New Haven Chargers59c22.15$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.082466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed New Haven Chargers68c18.51$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.921,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed New Haven Chargers58c17.98$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5937947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.