Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3234a59ea6596c2b3f3140086986380dbeb5b064271c575e1b19fc92413a62b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marshall Thundering Herdof Marshall Thundering Herd, Appalachian State Mountaineers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,748
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,748 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 38c | 8,596$3,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,289.47 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 59c | 5,353$3,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.84 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 39c | 4,048$1,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.49 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 70c | 3,124$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.61 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 63c | 2,994$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886.16 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 62c | 2,750$1,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.5 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 37c | 2,222$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.86 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 62c | 2,081$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.68 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 74c | 1,992$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.18 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 25c | 1,918$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.68 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 42c | 1,907$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.13 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 44c | 1,810$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.99 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…4d2dbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 62c | 1,624$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 17c | 1,603$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.06 | 176 | 27.8%49 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 38c | 1,543$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.5 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 29c | 1,494$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.04 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 61c | 1,200$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 60c | 976$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.96 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 72c | 903.47$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.69 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 50c | 903$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.38 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 13c | 783.75$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.9 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 37c | 714.23$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.36 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5280backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 74c | 675.81$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 40c | 616.02$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.73 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 38c | 601.14$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.34 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.14 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 50c | 498.32$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.13 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 22c | 482.26$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.86 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe29e…fa35backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 68c | 441.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.8 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 76c | 396.49$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.38 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 37c | 389.81$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.49 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.14 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 26c | 357$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.48 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 42c | 350$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 30c | 325$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.5 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 60c | 323.33$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 38c | 322.77$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.32 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d0…6fc8backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 29c | 300$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 42c | 299.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.99 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…e67abacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 64c | 273.92$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 15c | 267.19$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.2 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 62c | 258.06$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 44c | 255$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.48 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 78c | 253.18$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.44 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 41c | 252.18$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.79 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 149 | 30.2%45 W · 104 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 59c | 197.27$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.39 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 60c | 194.4$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.92 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 41c | 180.94$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.75 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…2eefbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 78c | 131.15$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 66cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 71c | 129.84$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.77 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -4.8wins | -0.28per pick | 64cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 38c | 120$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 30c | 106$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.2 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 43c | 100.32$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.28 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 22c | 98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 67c | 91$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.68 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…5b77backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 43c | 90.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 62c | 89.85$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.71 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 53c | 88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 64c | 83.44$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 62c | 80.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 61c | 73.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 219 | 37.4%82 W · 137 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 37c | 71.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.47 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…3400backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 59c | 67.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6e…b1a7backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 21c | 64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.56 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 273 | 58.6%160 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…d3abbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 30c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aaa…ddfdbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 39c | 58.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.66 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 57c | 52.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 41c | 48.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 44c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fc…5b57backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 73c | 41.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 32c | 40.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 253 | 37.5%95 W · 158 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 27c | 40.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…743dbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 30c | 39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 66c | 36.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 41c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 40c | 34.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1989…2370backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 52c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 41c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3b…ea24backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf0…45ecbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 43c | 29.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc484…af66backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 74c | 27.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5904…940fbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…9fa4backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 69c | 21.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf55c…a6abbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 72c | 21.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 141 | 71.6%101 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Appalachian State Mountaineersthis page
- Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers: O/U 143.5Over won
- Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers: O/U 144.5Over won
- Spread: Appalachian State Mountaineers (-3.5)Marshall Thundering Herd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.