Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ca409aef5e6c0a1b161fada6a4b007189ede8925596fe1e98024e10c55d34b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Abilene Christian Wildcatsof UT Arlington Mavericks, Abilene Christian Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,207
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,207 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e9b…945abacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 51c | 14,886$7,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,345.61 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 43c | 4,764$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.56 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 49c | 4,038$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971.21 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 49c | 3,214$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.47 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 48c | 2,159$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.45 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 47c | 1,871$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.88 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 51c | 1,560$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.6 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 31c | 1,278$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.32 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 37c | 972$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.37 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 59c | 958.09$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.84 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 49c | 781$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.69 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 49c | 781$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.69 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 40c | 625.29$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.34 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 53c | 423$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.01 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 58c | 387.36$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.06 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 12c | 366.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 38c | 319.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.9 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0303…1770backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 79c | 277.78$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 59c | 266.9$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.07 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 49c | 200.08$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.44 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 253 | 25.3%64 W · 189 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 48c | 196.07$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.11 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 62c | 181.44$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.22 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 27c | 164.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 191 | 38.2%73 W · 118 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d7…42c1backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 48c | 152.98$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.55 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 44c | 120$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 75c | 111$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c00…741dbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 38c | 106.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 49c | 102.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.07 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 56c | 99.33$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…1218backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 54c | 92.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 16c | 89.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…3400backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 56c | 89.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 46c | 83.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 55c | 78.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 50c | 61.69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 50c | 48.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 54c | 44.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 51c | 41.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 53c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 51c | 28.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9c…da16backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 150 | 66%99 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Abilene Christian Wildcatsthis page
- Spread: UT Arlington Mavericks (-1.5)Abilene Christian Wildcats won
- UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats: O/U 134.5Under won
- UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats: O/U 136.5Under won
- UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats: O/U 137.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.