Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: UT Arlington Mavericks (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x685d4c1c741ed17febe11c2e4e7a98dbed9e2bec80f5a64c9f1b3b76e63d5085
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Abilene Christian Wildcatsof UT Arlington Mavericks, Abilene Christian Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,207
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,207 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 46c | 2,048$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.84 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 54c | 1,857$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.42 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…c6e4backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 182 | 45.1%82 W · 100 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 47c | 243.58$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.39 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 70c | 145.87$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.82 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 53c | 105.77$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.71 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fb…b328backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: UT Arlington Mavericks (-1.5)this page
- UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Abilene Christian WildcatsAbilene Christian Wildcats won
- UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats: O/U 134.5Under won
- UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats: O/U 136.5Under won
- UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats: O/U 137.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.